arXiv:2606.24982cs.LGstat.ML2026-06

用分块扩散生成异步事件序列,兼顾质量与长度灵活性

Latent Block-Diffusion Temporal Point Processes: A Semi-Autoregressive Framework for Asynchronous Event Sequence Generation

  • 在隐空间分块进行自回归建模与高斯扩散
  • 六组真实数据集上优于现有最先进方法
  • 适合需要可变长度高质量事件生成的场景

建模和采样异步事件序列的底层分布对社交网络、医疗诊断和金融交易等应用至关重要。现有自回归方法在多步生成中存在误差累积问题,而非自回归扩散方法通常局限于固定长度输出。本文提出潜变量分块扩散时间点过程(LBDTPP),一种新型半自回归框架,引入隐空间分块扩散机制以实现高质量且可变长度的事件序列生成。核心思想是在隐空间定义事件块的自回归概率分布,并在每个块内执行高斯扩散。通过顺序生成块并同时采样块内事件,LBDTPP保持了自回归模型的长度灵活性,同时继承了扩散模型的并行高质量生成能力。理论上,我们推导出Wasserstein误差界,表明在合适的局部近似和前缀稳定性假设下,分块生成可减少相较于事件级自回归生成的误差累积。在六个真实世界基准数据集上的大量实验表明,LBDTPP在无条件和条件生成任务中均优于当前最优基线。进一步的实证分析验证了隐空间扩散和分块生成的优势,并揭示了生成质量与块大小之间的权衡。代码已开源:https://github.com/Zh-Shuai/LBDTPP。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Modeling and sampling from the underlying distribution of asynchronous event sequences are crucial in various real-world applications, including social networks, medical diagnosis, and financial transactions. Existing autoregressive methods suffer from error accumulation during multi-step generation, while non-autoregressive diffusion methods are typically limited to fixed-length output sequences. In this paper, we propose Latent Block-Diffusion Temporal Point Processes (LBDTPP), a novel semi-autoregressive TPP framework that introduces a latent block diffusion mechanism for high-quality and variable-length event sequence generation. The core idea is to define an autoregressive probability distribution over event blocks in latent space and perform Gaussian diffusion within each block. By sequentially generating blocks while simultaneously sampling events in each block, LBDTPP preserves the length flexibility of autoregressive TPPs and inherits the parallel high-quality generation capability of diffusion models. Theoretically, we derive Wasserstein error bounds showing that, under suitable local approximation and prefix-stability assumptions, block-wise generation can reduce error accumulation compared with event-wise autoregressive generation. Extensive experiments on six real-world benchmark datasets demonstrate that LBDTPP outperforms state-of-the-art TPP baselines in both unconditional and conditional generation tasks. Further empirical analyses verify the benefits of latent-space diffusion and block-wise generation, and reveal the trade-off between generation quality and block size. Our code is available at https://github.com/Zh-Shuai/LBDTPP.

时间点过程扩散模型事件序列生成模型

Thank you to arXiv for use of its open access interoperability. PaperDance 不是 arXiv 官方产品;中文卡片由大模型生成,请以原文为准。