用连续动态模型捕捉心脏全周期运动,提升心衰预测能力
A Latent ODE Approach to Spatiotemporal Modeling of Cine Cardiac MRI

- 用神经微分方程建模心脏运动的连续潜变量轨迹
- 在7万多名健康人群中验证,显著提升心衰预测准确性
- 适合心脏病学研究与医学影像智能分析领域学者
心脏磁共振成像(CMR)蕴含丰富的时空信息,但传统风险模型仅依赖少数选定心动周期的指标。本文提出一种潜在动力学模型,通过心率感知的神经常微分方程(ODE)和基于图的网格自编码器,将双心室解剖结构与完整心动周期的运动编码为连续潜变量轨迹,并重建符合解剖一致性的3D+t心室运动。通过协变量条件先验定义预期舒张末期潜状态,结合Cox比例风险模型检验偏离该先验是否可预测心衰事件。研究纳入72,386名无基线心血管疾病的英国生物样本库参与者,其中367例发生心衰。在独立测试子集上,将潜变量得分加入重新拟合的群体方程后,分层C指数从0.704提升至0.785,优于7个已知心脏标志物的0.764。相比非图结构与非ODE方法,本模型在重建保真度、生成真实性和下游预测性能之间表现最优。结果表明,连续全周期心室运动建模可提供超越传统CMR摘要的有临床意义的心脏表型,但需在更代表性人群进行外部验证后方可用于临床风险预测。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (CMR) captures rich spatiotemporal information about ventricular structure and motion, but conventional risk models use only a few image-derived indices from selected cardiac phases. We present a latent dynamical model that encodes bi-ventricular anatomy and full-cycle cine motion as a continuous latent trajectory, using heart-rate-aware neural ordinary differential equation (ODE) dynamics and a graph-based mesh autoencoder to reconstruct anatomically consistent 3D+t ventricular motion. A covariate-conditioned prior defines the expected end-diastolic latent state, and a Cox proportional hazards model tests whether deviations from this prior predict incident heart failure. We studied 72,386 UK Biobank participants without baseline cardiovascular disease, including 367 incident heart failure events. In a held-out evaluation subset, adding the latent score to refitted pooled cohort equations improved the stratified C-index from 0.704 to 0.785, compared with 0.764 for seven established cardiac markers. Compared with non-graph and non-ODE approaches, the proposed model gave the best trade-off between reconstruction fidelity, generative realism, and downstream prognostic performance. These results suggest that continuous full-cycle modeling of ventricular motion provides informative cardiac phenotypes beyond conventional CMR summaries, while external validation in more representative patient cohorts is required before clinical risk-prediction use.
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