arXiv:2606.29533cs.GTcs.LG2026-06中稿 · presentation at th…

提出高效算法,实现多智能体预测中子线性换位后悔,提升稳定性与效率。

Improved Multi-Dimensional Forecasting for Swap Regret

论文配图:Improved Multi-Dimensional Forecasting for Swap Regret
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 设计多项式时间算法,实现二维下界为√(kT)的换位后悔
  • 在任意维数下达∼O(d√kT)后悔,优于以往依赖T²/³的方案
  • 适用于多智能体自适应环境,适合博弈学习与机制设计场景

研究任意数量下游智能体在目标未知情况下的预测问题,每个智能体基于预测结果最优响应。目标是设计单一预测器,对所有下游智能体同时保证子线性换位后悔。针对二维结果空间,提出多项式时间算法,对任意具有k个动作的智能体,可保证∼O(√(kT))换位后悔,优于此前∼O(kT⁵⁄⁸)的界限,并避免了之前算法指数级于T的运行时间。该算法可推广至其他低维环境,保持∼O(√T)的下游换位后悔,而关于k和T的指数随维度增长。对于任意维度d,给出一个假设已知任意智能体动作数上限为k的预测算法,可实现∼O(d√(kT))换位后悔,虽运行时间较长,但显著优于以往高维结果中依赖∼O(T²⁄³)且需额外行为假设的方案。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

We study the problem of forecasting for an arbitrary number of downstream agents with unknown objectives, each of whom best responds to the forecaster's predictions. We seek a single forecaster that guarantees sublinear swap regret for all downstream agents simultaneously. For two-dimensional outcome spaces, we give a polynomial time algorithm that guarantees $\tilde{O}(\sqrt{kT})$ swap regret for any downstream agent with $k$ actions. This improves over the previously known bound of $\tilde{O}(kT^{5/8})$ and avoids the exponential in $T$ runtime of prior algorithms in this setting. Our algorithm extends nicely to other low dimensional environments, retaining $\tilde{O}(\sqrt{T})$ downstream swap regret while the exponent of $k$ in the regret bound and the exponent of $T$ in the running time both grow with dimension. For arbitrary dimension $d$, we give a forecasting algorithm that guarantees $\tilde{O}(d\sqrt{kT})$ swap regret, assuming the forecaster knows an upper bound $k$ on the number of actions available to any downstream agent, albeit with a much longer runtime. This improves upon previous high dimensional guarantees that had $\tilde{O}(T^{2/3})$ dependence and required additional behavioral assumptions.

在线学习多智能体后悔最小化博弈论

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