arXiv:2606.29889cs.LG2026-06中稿 · presentation at ME…

分析斯里兰卡急救资源分布不均,提出四类地区分类方案

Golden Hour Divide: Trauma Care Accessibility and Resource Vulnerability in Sri Lanka

论文配图:Golden Hour Divide: Trauma Care Accessibility and Resource Vulnerability in Sri Lanka
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 用空间网格建模与聚类分析,划分25个地区为四类急救韧性类型
  • 北部东部地区急救空窗超70%,黄金一小时无法实现,专家短缺比床位更关键
  • 优化高优先区资源可减少全国需求缺口9.65%,助力医疗公平

及时重症救治关乎生死,但斯里兰卡紧急医疗基础设施分布不均。尽管院前服务已扩展,但向确定性治疗的过渡仍是关键瓶颈。本研究基于最新全国流行病学数据与地形感知的H3六边形建模,评估了全国25个地区在七种危急病症下的可及性,涵盖空间差距、临床需求差、致死率、覆盖范围与资源可用性。通过无监督K-Means聚类,将地区划分为四类政策可行动态:严重结构性排斥、机构幻象、运营能力压力和高韧性标杆。研究发现,北部与东部省份存在超过70%的空间缺口,导致黄金一小时实际不可行。值得注意的是,专科医生短缺造成的系统压力远超床位不足;欠发达地区实质上是‘机构幻象’。提升重点区域资源可达性25%,可使全国需求缺口降低9.65%,为专家战略性调配提供路径。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Timely intensive care dictates survival, yet emergency infrastructure remains unevenly distributed across Sri Lanka. While pre-hospital services have expanded, the transition to definitive care remains a critical bottleneck. This study evaluates national emergency resilience by quantifying the gap between clinical demand and the availability of specialized resources across all 25 districts. Using the latest national epidemiological data and terrain-aware H3 hexagonal modeling, we analyzed accessibility for seven critical conditions based on spatial gaps, clinical need-gaps, lethality, coverage, and resource availability. Based on these metrics, unsupervised K-Means clustering was applied to categorize districts into four policy-actionable archetypes: Critical Structural Exclusion, Institutional Mirages, Operational Capacity Strain, and High-Resilience Benchmarks. Our study suggests that severe service deficits exist in the Northern and Eastern provinces, where spatial gaps exceed 70%, rendering the Golden Hour operationally impossible. Notably, specialist scarcity drives systemic pressure more than bed capacity; underserved regions effectively function as institutional mirages. This study suggests that improving accessibility by 25% in high-priority clusters would reduce the national need-gap by 9.65%, providing a roadmap for the strategic redistribution of specialists to ensure healthcare equity.

急救医疗空间分析医疗公平应急响应

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