用12周实证研究揭示AI编程如何从失控到可管的转化机制

Generative AI is shifting software engineering from a practice organized around scarce implementation effort toward one organized around abundant, low-cost code production. This shift changes the central engineering problem: not whether AI can generate useful code, but how engineers organize architectures, tools, evidence, and feedback loops so that AI-mediated development remains inspectable, correctable, and maintainable. We study this problem through a first-person case study: a 12-week development effort in which a single expert software engineer used frontier AI coding agents to build a document accessibility remediation system. The empirical record comprises 88 contemporaneous field notes, 420 KLOC of production code, and 1.16 MLOC of tests, lints, supporting documentation, and agent tooling. From this record, we develop a candidate middle-range theory of governance conversion, expressed as a process model explaining how high-velocity agentic implementation becomes governable. The model explains how agentic implementation velocity surfaces recurring structural failure classes, and how engineering judgment sustains velocity by converting those failures into durable governance mechanisms. In contrast to existing governance models that derive controls from known obligations, governance conversion explains how controls are discovered from failures that become visible only during agentic work. We use our model to make testable predictions and to describe implications for software engineering research and practice.