arXiv:2607.01785cs.LG2026-07

用超图建模多对象事件,提升服务流程下一步预测准确率。

EHHN: An Event-driven Heterogeneous Hypergraph Network for Object-Centric Next Activity Prediction

论文配图:EHHN: An Event-driven Heterogeneous Hypergraph Network for Object-Centric Next Activity Prediction
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 构建异构超图捕捉事件与多对象的复杂关联
  • 在四个数据集上准确率和F1值均超越基线,最高提升12.4个百分点
  • 适合需要高精度流程预测的工业系统,如客服、金融审批

下一步活动预测有助于服务流程在延迟、异常或服务水平风险发生前预判后续步骤。现有方法多基于单案例事件日志,而真实服务流程常涉及多个类型业务对象共享事件。对象中心事件日志(OCEL)可捕获此类交互,但现有预测模型仍受限。扁平化方法丢失跨对象上下文,原生基于OCEL图的方法通过成对关系编码多对象事件。现有模型也未能联合建模事件驱动的对象状态变化、事件间时间间隔及全局执行模式。本文提出EHHN:一种面向对象中心下一步活动预测的事件驱动异构超图网络。EHHN将每个预测前缀表示为异构超图,其中事件-对象超边连接共参与对象,生命周期超边分组主对象的已观测生命周期事件。基于此表示,EHHN采用双流架构:微空间流建模事件驱动的对象状态演化,宏观演化流利用检索的全局原型捕捉时间动态。两流融合后预测下一步活动。在四个公开的OCEL基准上对比九个基线的实验表明,EHHN在所有数据集上均达到最佳准确率和宏F1值,较最强基线分别提升最高8.1和12.4个百分点。相较于最强的OCEL原生图基线,EHHN峰值GPU内存降低最多达24倍。代码已开源:https://github.com/chenkaitao1112/EHHN。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Next activity prediction helps service-oriented processes anticipate upcoming steps before delays, exceptions, or service-level risks occur. Most existing methods assume classical single-case event logs, whereas real service processes often involve events shared by multiple typed business objects. Object-centric event logs (OCELs) capture such interactions, but current predictors remain limited. Flattening-based approaches lose cross-object context, and native OCEL graph-based approaches encode multi-object events through pairwise relations. Existing models also do not jointly capture event-driven object state changes, inter-event timing, and global execution patterns. We propose EHHN, an Event-driven Heterogeneous Hypergraph Network for object-centric next activity prediction. EHHN represents each prediction prefix as a heterogeneous hypergraph, where event--object hyperedges bind retained co-participating objects and a lifecycle hyperedge groups the primary object's observed lifecycle events. Based on this representation, EHHN uses a dual-stream architecture in which a micro-spatial stream models event-driven object-state evolution and a macro-evolution stream captures temporal dynamics using retrieved global prototypes. The two streams are fused to predict the next activity. Experiments on four public OCEL benchmarks against nine baselines show that EHHN achieves the best accuracy and macro F1-score on all datasets, with improvements of up to 8.1 and 12.4 percentage points over the strongest baselines. Compared with the strongest OCEL-native graph baseline, EHHN also reduces peak GPU memory by up to 24 times. Code is available at https://github.com/chenkaitao1112/EHHN.

流程预测超图网络对象中心事件日志

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