用多智能体协作+人类参与,从高维数据中高效发现因果关系。
CausalSteward: An Agentic Divide-Conquer-Combine Copilot for Causal Discovery

- 分治策略:将变量群分块分析,逐步构建大模型
- 融合先验知识与数据驱动,提升因果可识别性
- 适合需要可解释、可信因果推断的研究者
从高维数据中学习因果模型是重大挑战,尤其在现实场景中,核心假设的违背常导致因果不可识别。尽管存在大量包含宝贵因果信息的先验知识,如何有效整合仍是个开放问题。我们提出CausalSteward(CAST),一种人机协同的交互式大规模因果模型构建框架。该框架采用多智能体协作机制,通过分治策略对大规模变量群进行迭代分割与独立分析。系统融合先验知识与数据驱动方法,使用检索增强生成和条件独立性检验等定制工具。最后,本研究探讨了多智能体框架中因果推理的能力与局限,以及人类参与在实现准确、可信结果中的作用。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Learning causal models from high-dimensional data is a significant challenge, particularly in real-world settings where violations of core assumptions lead to causal identifiability issues. Although massive amounts of prior knowledge are available, and contain valuable causal information, effectively integrating this knowledge into the causal discovery process remains an open problem. We introduce CausalSTeward (CAST), a novel human-in-the-loop framework for interactively assembling large causal models. CausalSteward is a multi-agent collaborative system that tackles high-dimensional causality through a divide-and-conquer approach where large clusters of variables are iteratively partitioned and then separately analyzed. Our framework fuses prior knowledge with a data-driven approach by using tailored tools such as retrieval augmented generation and conditional independence tests. Finally, we use this work to examine the capabilities and limitations of causal reasoning in multi-agent frameworks, and how the human-in-the-loop can contribute to accurate and trustworthy results.
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