arXiv:2607.05252cs.LG2026-07中稿 · ICML

FUSE通过双轨架构与概率引导采样,提升多模态模拟推断的精度。

FUSE: FK-Steered Multi-Modal Flow Matching for Efficient Simulation-Based Posterior Estimation

论文配图:FUSE: FK-Steered Multi-Modal Flow Matching for Efficient Simulation-Based Posterior Estimation
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 采用双轨结构分离并保留参数与观测特征,动态交互增强建模能力。
  • 在标准基准上逼近真实后验分布,比现有方法更接近MCMC结果。
  • 适用于天体物理等复杂科学问题,尤其擅长处理参数退化难题。

模拟推断(SBI)对科学发现至关重要,生成模型为高效推断提供了可能。然而,现有方法在多模态建模方面表现不佳,常依赖忽略参数与观测结构差异的暴力融合策略,限制了估计精度。本文提出FUSE(Feynman-Kac引导的多模态流匹配),采用双轨架构,在保持多模态输入特性的基础上实现动态交互。同时,设计了基于中间观测似然的FK引导采样策略,有效提升生成轨迹质量。在标准SBI基准测试中,FUSE超越现有最优方法,生成的后验分布接近真实MCMC结果。在真实的系外行星轨道估计任务中,成功解析了复杂参数退化问题,展现出在天体物理等领域的应用潜力。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Simulation-Based Inference (SBI) is critical for scientific discovery, with generative models offering a promising path toward efficient inference. However, existing methods struggle with effective multimodal modeling. They often rely on brute-force fusion strategies that ignore the structural disparities between parameters and observations, thus limiting estimation fidelity. In this work, we introduce FUSE (Feynman-Kac steered mUlti-modal flow matching for efficient Simulation-based posterior Estimation). Unlike prior work, FUSE employs a dual-track architecture that preserves the distinct features of multimodal inputs while facilitating dynamic interaction. Additionally, we propose an FK-steered sampling strategy that leverages intermediate observation likelihoods to guide the generative trajectories, effectively improving the sample quality during inference. Our approach outperforms state-of-the-art baselines on standard SBI benchmarks, producing posteriors that closely match ground-truth MCMC. Furthermore, in a real-world exoplanet orbital estimation task, FUSE successfully resolves complex parameter degeneracies that challenge existing methods, highlighting its potential to accelerate complex scientific discoveries in astrophysics and beyond.

模拟推断多模态建模天体物理流匹配

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