arXiv:2607.07016cs.LGcs.AI2026-07中稿 · the 2026 IEEE Inte…

融合时空频特征与新闻信息,提升蜂窝网络流量预测精度

Multimodal Spatiotemporal-Frequency Fusion with Peak Enhancement for Cellular Traffic Forecasting

论文配图:Multimodal Spatiotemporal-Frequency Fusion with Peak Enhancement for Cellular Traffic Forecasting
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 设计多模态框架,同时捕捉交通时序、空间和频域特征
  • 引入峰值增强模块,有效识别突发流量波动
  • 结合城市新闻数据,提升对事件驱动型流量的预测能力

精准预测蜂窝网络流量对现代移动通信系统的网络规划、资源分配和质量保障至关重要。现实流量常表现出突发的内在动态及由外部城市事件引发的扰动,使可靠预测极具挑战。现有时空流量预测方法多聚焦单一模态内的固有模式或结构关系,很少联合建模突发行为与外部上下文信号。为此,我们提出MSPF-Net,一种融合外部上下文信息的多模态蜂窝流量预测框架。该框架包含:时空频流量编码器,用于捕捉时间、空间与频域特征;峰值增强模块,提取突发性流量波动表征;新闻上下文表示模块,将城市新闻流编码为外生上下文嵌入;以及动态融合预测模块,自适应整合异构信号生成预测。在米兰、特伦托和LTE流量数据集上的实验表明,联合建模流量动态、突发模式与新闻上下文信号可显著提升预测性能。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Accurate forecasting of cellular network traffic is essential for network planning, resource allocation, and quality-of-service assurance in modern mobile communication systems. Real-world traffic often exhibits bursty endogenous dynamics and disturbances triggered by external urban events, which makes reliable prediction highly challenging. Most existing spatiotemporal traffic forecasting methods primarily focus on intrinsic traffic patterns or structural relationships within a single modality, and rarely model burst behavior together with exogenous contextual signals. To address this issue, we propose \textbf{MSPF-Net}, a multimodal cellular traffic forecasting framework that integrates external contextual information. Specifically, MSPF-Net consists of a Spatiotemporal-Frequency Traffic Encoder for capturing temporal, spatial, and spectral traffic patterns, a Peak Enhancement Module for extracting burst-aware representations of sudden spikes, a News Context Representation Module for encoding urban news streams into exogenous contextual embeddings, and a Dynamic Fusion Prediction Module for adaptively integrating these heterogeneous signals to generate forecasts. Experiments on the Milano, Trento, and LTE traffic datasets demonstrate that jointly modeling traffic dynamics, burst patterns, and news contextual signals can effectively improve forecasting performance.

流量预测多模态突发建模时空建模

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