建模多车交互动态图,预测每辆车变道意图与轨迹。
A Dynamic Scene Interaction Reasoning Framework for Scene-level Lane-Change Intention and Trajectory Prediction of Multiple Interacting Vehicles

- 用动态图结构表示车辆间空间与运动关系,通过注意力机制捕捉交互演化。
- 在NGSIM和highD数据集上意图准确率达90.97%,轨迹误差降低52.94%。
- 适合自动驾驶场景理解、多车协同决策等需要全局行为预测的任务。
高级驾驶辅助系统与自动驾驶中的安全路径规划需准确预判周边交通场景的演变。现有方法多聚焦单一目标车,而多智能体预测常仅提供未来位置,缺乏对各车具体操作(如变道)的显式描述。本文提出动态场景图注意力框架(DSiGAT),同时预测局部交通场景中所有相关车辆的变道意图与未来轨迹。将场景建模为时变交互图,车辆为节点,其空间与运动关系通过显式边特征编码。时间图注意力消息传递捕捉车辆间依赖关系及变道前线索,意图引导解码器将每个操作与对应运动关联。场景一致性目标促进多车未来行为的一致性。在NGSIM I-80、NGSIM US-101和highD数据集上的实验表明,该方法优于现有基线:在I-80与US-101上意图预测准确率分别达90.12%和90.97%,轨迹均方根误差(RMSE)相对最强基线降低52.94%,并显著减少车辆间碰撞率与联合位移误差,体现更一致的场景级预测能力。消融、敏感性、鲁棒性及定性分析验证了各模块贡献与场景导向设计的有效性。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Safe motion planning in advanced driver-assistance systems and autonomous vehicles requires an accurate understanding of how the surrounding traffic scene is likely to evolve. However, many existing lane-change prediction methods remain centered on a single target vehicle, while multi-agent forecasting approaches often describe scene evolution only through future positions and provide limited explicit information about the maneuver associated with each vehicle. This study proposes a dynamic scene graph attention framework that predicts the lane-change intention and future trajectory of every relevant vehicle within a local traffic scene. The scene is represented as a time-varying interaction graph in which vehicles are modeled as nodes and their spatial and kinematic relationships are encoded through explicit edge features. Temporal graph-attention message passing captures evolving inter-vehicle dependencies and pre-maneuver cues, while an intention-guided decoder links each predicted maneuver to its corresponding future motion. A scene-level consistency objective further encourages compatible multi-vehicle futures. Experiments on the NGSIM I-80, NGSIM US-101, and highD datasets demonstrate consistent improvements over competing baselines. DSiGAT achieves intention prediction accuracies of 90.12% and 90.97% on NGSIM I-80 and US-101, respectively, and reduces trajectory RMSE by up to 52.94% relative to the strongest baseline. It also produces lower inter-agent collision rates and joint displacement errors, indicating more coherent scene-level predictions. Ablation, sensitivity, robustness, and qualitative analyses further validate the contribution of the proposed components and the effectiveness of the scene-focused formulation.
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