arXiv:2607.10793cs.LGcs.NA2026-07中稿 · the 42nd Conferenc…

用分层树结构提升非平稳函数积分精度,无需复杂采样。

Hierarchical Bayesian Quadrature

论文配图:Hierarchical Bayesian Quadrature
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 将积分域分块为局部平稳子区域,用树形结构自适应构建模型。
  • 在非平稳测试问题上性能显著优于传统方法,平稳时保持相当水平。
  • 无需马尔可夫链蒙特卡洛,自动分配计算资源到复杂区域。

数值积分是工程模拟和概率机器学习中模型证据计算等科学计算的核心。贝叶斯求积利用高斯过程代理模型显式编码被积函数的结构假设,以获得带不确定性量化积分估计。这些代理模型通常基于平稳协方差函数,导致对非平稳被积函数出现模型误设。本文通过自适应增长的树状分区策略,将积分域划分为局部平稳模型。该方法通过层级高斯过程条件化重新引入子域间相关性,同时利用模型选择准则控制树的生长,避免过度分割。算法简单,无需MCMC,且能根据被积函数局部复杂度动态调整评估预算。在基准积分问题和流行病学模型的证据计算中,该方法在非平稳被积函数上显著优于标准贝叶斯求积,而在平稳情况下表现相当。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Numerical integration is a cornerstone of various scientific computing applications, such as engineering simulations and model evidence computations in probabilistic machine learning. Bayesian Quadrature uses Gaussian process surrogates that explicitly encode structural assumptions about the integrand to obtain integral estimates with quantified uncertainty. These surrogates are predominantly based on stationary covariance functions, which results in model misspecification for integrands exhibiting nonstationary behavior. We tackle this issue through an adaptively growing, tree-based partition of the integration domain into local stationary models. Our method recombines the local integral estimates through a hierarchy of GP conditioning that reintroduces cross-subdomain correlations, while model selection criteria control the tree growth to avoid unnecessary partitioning. The resulting algorithm is simple, requires no MCMC, and adapts its evaluation budget to local integrand complexity. On benchmark integration problems and a model evidence computation for an epidemiological model, Hierarchical Bayesian Quadrature achieves substantial gains over standard Bayesian Quadrature on nonstationary integrands while matching its performance on stationary ones.

数值积分贝叶斯求积高斯过程非平稳建模

Thank you to arXiv for use of its open access interoperability. PaperDance 不是 arXiv 官方产品;中文卡片由大模型生成,请以原文为准。