医学智能体从辅助到自主的演进路径与落地挑战

The growing ability of large language models and vision-language models to jointly interpret and reason over images and text is reshaping medical imaging AI, moving it from task-specific predictors toward autonomous agents that perceive, reason, plan, remember, and act in clinical environments. This survey departs from the capability-first perspective of existing literature and instead begins from clinical deployment, asking what tasks, contamination-resistant benchmarks, and interactive training environments are required before medical agents can be trusted in practice. Medical agents are formalized as sequential decision-making systems under partial observability, together with a three-level autonomy taxonomy spanning assisted, cooperative, and fully autonomous operation. The field is organized along a unified scaling spine consisting of framework scaling, capability scaling, and environment scaling. Within this framework, clinical environment scaling, the integration of tools, data, and clinical gyms, is identified as the most actionable yet underexplored direction for agents operating in PACS, EHR, and FHIR ecosystems. Clinical self-evolution, where agents improve through interaction with their environments rather than parameter scaling alone, is further positioned as a key research frontier, drawing insights from self-improving agents, agent gyms, and test-time compute scaling. Applications across radiology, pathology, ophthalmology, and hospital workflows are examined together with deployment challenges including hallucination, cascading failures, and fairness. By consolidating more than 300 references, with particular emphasis on advances from 2025 to 2026, this survey provides a roadmap toward trustworthy, self-improving medical imaging systems for real clinical practice.