arXiv:2607.12113cs.DCcs.AI2026-07

自动驾驶科研需从发现转向可信验证,新路线图聚焦可复现与安全

Toward Trustworthy Autonomous Science: A Two-Year Community Roadmap

  • 重构五大维度,将信任、验证、安全升为首要目标
  • 实验验证的假说已不稀缺,但可信验证仍严重滞后
  • 适合政策制定者、科研机构及产业界共同参与协作

一年前,AISLE路线图指出自主实验室如孤岛运行,提出围绕五个关键维度的草根网络。当前进展超预期:多智能体系统已产出实验验证假说,自驾车实验室实现更高互操作性,经推理训练和领域基础模型提升能力上限,而‘起源任务’使自主实验成为美国联邦科学战略核心,产业界也成主要参与者。然而,也面临严峻挑战:旗舰发现结果被修正,基准测试显示代理在闭式问题上媲美专家,但在开放式研究中仅完成少量任务,且顶尖会议出现伪造引用。这揭示了领域核心矛盾:生成候选发现已非难点,可信验证才是瓶颈,其不对称性已超过模型能力限制。本报告更新为七大维度,重审原五维,并将信任、验证、可复现性以及安全、防护、治理提升至核心地位。评估原14个里程碑(M1-M14)为已达成、部分达成、重构或开放状态,新增四个里程碑(M15-M18),规划两年内路径:第一年聚焦接口、协议采纳与验证框架搭建;第二年推进联邦协作、零信任协调与治理机制。始终以草根网络作为国家计划、国际倡议与商业平台间互联的互操作性基底。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

One year ago, the AISLE roadmap argued that autonomous laboratories operated as isolated islands and proposed a grassroots network organized around five critical dimensions. The field has since moved faster than anticipated. Multi-agent systems have produced experimentally validated hypotheses, self-driving laboratories have grown more interoperable and orchestrated, reasoning-trained and domain foundation models have raised the capability ceiling, and the Genesis Mission has placed autonomous experimentation at the center of U.S. federal science strategy, with industry emerging as a primary actor. Progress has met a sobering counter-current, including a corrected flagship discovery result, benchmarks showing that agents which rival experts on closed-ended questions still complete only a fraction of open-ended research, and fabricated citations surfacing at leading venues. We read this as the defining tension of the field. Producing a candidate discovery is no longer the hard part, but verifying it is, and this asymmetry now limits autonomous science more than raw model capability. We update the roadmap around seven dimensions, revisiting the original five and elevating two former cross-cutting concerns, trust, verification, and reproducibility, and safety, security, and governance, to first-class status. We assess the original milestones (M1 through M14) as achieved, partially achieved, reframed, or open, add four new milestones (M15 through M18), and scope the path forward to a two-year horizon. The first year concentrates on interfaces, protocol adoption, and the scaffolding of verification, and the second targets federation, zero-trust coordination, and governance. Throughout, we position the grassroots network as the interoperability fabric that lets national programs, international initiatives, and commercial platforms connect rather than re-silo.

自主科研可信验证路线图多智能体

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