用表格基础模型实现无需重训练的电力系统动态安全评估。
Revisiting data-driven dynamic security assessment with a tabular foundation model

- 采用表格基础模型通过上下文学习一次性评估多种故障情形。
- 仅需每种故障120个标注样本,平均宏F1达90%,远低于传统方法。
- 引入电距离坐标可显著提升对未知故障的泛化能力,适合电力系统运维应用。
数据驱动的预故障动态安全评估(DSA)利用机器学习快速评估电力系统在可信故障下的动态风险。现有方法存在两大局限:一是需大规模标注数据集训练,每个故障需单独建模、调参和维护;二是模型对未见故障泛化能力差。本文提出使用表格基础模型(TFM),通过上下文学习实现稳定性评估,无需重新训练或超参数调优。单一TFM可同时评估多种故障,避免逐个建模。研究还分析了电距离坐标(EDC)作为连续特征时,何时能提升TFM对未见故障的泛化能力,并证明少量标注样本即可显著改善泛化效果。在IEEE 68节点系统上的综合案例研究显示,单个TFM在每种故障仅需120个标注样本的情况下,平均宏F1达到约90%,仅为传统假设数量的百分之一,且无需重训练或调参。对于新/未见故障,仅需10个该故障的标注样本与EDC编码,即可达到需全量标注数据的最优迁移学习模型性能,而后者在实际中不可部署。本研究为电力系统运行中基础模型的开发与应用开辟了道路,具备跨多种操作任务的潜力。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Data-driven pre-fault dynamic security assessment (DSA) rapidly evaluates the dynamic risk of credible contingencies on a power system using machine learning. Existing approaches face two limitations. First, they require a large labelled database for training, with a separate model trained, tuned, and maintained for each contingency in a potentially long list of credible contingencies. Second, the trained models generalize poorly to unseen contingencies. This work addresses the limitations by using a tabular foundation model (TFM) that assesses stability through in-context learning, requiring no retraining or hyperparameter optimization. A single TFM can assess many contingencies at once, removing the need for one model per classifier. We also characterize when the use of electrical distance coordinates (EDC) as continuous features enables generalization of TFM to unseen contingencies and when they do not, demonstrating how a few labelled samples can reliably improve generalization. Through comprehensive case studies on the IEEE 68-bus system, we show that a single TFM attains an average Macro F1 score of about 90% with only 120 labelled samples per contingency, roughly two orders of magnitude fewer than conventionally assumed, without any model retraining or hyperparameter tuning. For new/unseen contingencies, we show that using just 10 labelled samples of the new contingency with EDC encoding matches the best achievable transfer learning oracle model, which requires fully labelled data and is not deployable in practice. Overall, this initial study paves the way towards developing and deploying foundation models for power system operations, with possible applications across multiple operational tasks.
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