提出限制前沿AI的国际协议退出机制设计建议
International Agreements to Limit Frontier AI: Objectives and Exit
- 建议设定固定期限后由新机构制定安全发展条件
- 允许在极端情况下提前退出限制措施
- 为全球AI治理提供可操作的退出框架
限制前沿AI发展的国际协议可能对缓解风险至关重要，但当前尚不明确何时应放松限制。本文调研现有国际协议，分析合适退出条件应具备的属性，列出可行条件，并在示例场景中给出建议：在固定期限结束后，由协议启动时设立的新组织制定安全发展条件，同时保留极端情况下的退出权利。旨在阐明制定此类国际协议时需考虑的关键因素。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
An international agreement to limit AI development could be crucial to mitigate risks from AI. However, it remains unclear which conditions should determine when the limiting measures are relaxed. We survey existing international agreements, outline what properties appropriate conditions should satisfy, list possible conditions, and finally give a recommendation in an example scenario. We recommend a fixed time period after which a new organization established at the start of the period specifies conditions that address when AI development can be safely conducted, with a possibility of withdrawal in extraordinary circumstances. We hope to illustrate the considerations that would likely go into an international agreement to limit AI.
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