arXiv:2607.16597cs.AImath.OC2026-07

为奥运跆拳道构建可解释、带不确定性的智能决策系统

FST.ai 2.5: Explainable and Uncertainty-Aware AI for Olympic and Para-Taekwondo Decision Support, Athlete Digital Twins, and Federation-Scale Analytics

  • 整合运动员数字孪生与赛事数据,统一管理训练与比赛分析
  • 支持战术诊断、长期监测和个性化训练推荐,提升决策可信度
  • 适合体育组织、教练及裁判,推动高竞技运动智能化转型

精英体育的快速数字化催生了人工智能、表现分析与决策支持系统在运动员培养和赛事管理中的新机遇。然而现有方案仍呈碎片化,通常仅解决单一任务,如表现分析或裁判辅助。本文提出FST·ai 2.5——一个面向奥运会及残奥跆拳道的可解释、不确定性感知且安全的AI框架。该框架构建了一个统一的数字生态,集成运动员智能、赛事分析、联合会级数据管理、AI辅助决策、运动员与赛事数字孪生、可解释的表现指标以及自适应训练建议。系统通过透明、安全且符合联合会治理的机制,服务于世界跆拳道协会(WT)、成员国协会(MNAs)、教练、裁判、分析师与运动员。结合多源比赛数据、运动员表现信息与上下文证据,该系统实现战术诊断、纵向运动员监测、表现预测、个性化发展计划制定及联合会级基准比较。原型部署验证了其可行性。尽管聚焦于奥运与残奥跆拳道,该方法亦适用于其他对抗性运动中的可解释AI、数字孪生与可信决策支持。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

The rapid digitalisation of elite sport has created new opportunities for integrating artificial intelligence (AI), performance analytics, and decision-support systems into athlete development and competition management. However, existing solutions remain fragmented, typically addressing isolated tasks such as performance analysis, athlete monitoring, or referee support. This paper presents \textbf{FST$\cdot$ai~2.5}, an explainable, uncertainty-aware, and secure AI framework for Olympic and Para-Taekwondo. \textbf{FST$\cdot$ai~2.5} introduces a unified digital ecosystem integrating athlete intelligence, competition analytics, federation-scale data management, AI-assisted decision support, athlete and event digital twins, explainable performance indicators, and adaptive training recommendations. The framework supports World Taekwondo (WT), Member National Associations (MNAs), coaches, referees, analysts, and athletes through transparent, secure, and federation-aware governance. By combining multi-source competition data, athlete-performance information, and contextual evidence, \textbf{FST$\cdot$ai~2.5} provides tactical diagnostics, longitudinal athlete monitoring, performance forecasting, personalised development planning, and federation-wide benchmarking using explainable and uncertainty-aware AI. Prototype deployments demonstrate the feasibility of the proposed framework. Although developed for Olympic and Para-Taekwondo, the methodology is broadly applicable to explainable AI, digital twins, and trustworthy decision support in combat sports and other high-performance sporting environments.

AI决策数字孪生可解释性体育科技

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