比较四种用电策略,发现智能调度可省37%电费。
Market Strategy Evaluation for Prosumers in Local Electricity Markets
- 用四类规则策略模拟33户家庭在本地电力市场博弈
- 最优策略使社区总电费降37.4%,夏季收益增40.1%
- 不同设备组合与季节影响策略效果,需协同优化
配备分布式发电和灵活负荷的产消者构成自主的能源系统,以最少人工干预参与本地电力市场。本文构建基于代理的仿真平台,模拟33户家庭(含光伏、储能、电动车、热泵)在统一价格双侧拍卖市场中的行为。对比四种递进复杂度的市场策略:零智能约束基线、边界价策略、扩展储能级联策略和市场自适应定价策略。仿真以15分钟粒度覆盖夏、冬、春三季,评估季节差异。结果表明,规则化资源控制显著降低社区总能耗支出:扩展储能级联策略总成本为39.06欧元,较基线62.38欧元下降37.4%;在夏季条件下,市场自适应策略带来最高集体财务收益(14.40欧元比基线10.28欧元),提升40.1%。策略有效性取决于设备配置与季节性供电条件,需同步评估资源控制与定价决策。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Prosumers equipped with distributed generation and flexible loads form autonomous cyber-physical energy systems that control local resources and participate in local energy markets with minimal human intervention. This work develops and evaluates an agent-based simulation platform in which agents, representing prosumer households with photovoltaic systems, battery storage systems, electric vehicles, and heat pumps, participate in a uniform-price double-sided call auction. The effect of individual bidding strategies on community-level efficiency and prosumer-level financial outcomes is incompletely understood, particularly when prosumers with heterogeneous portfolios interact in one market. Four market strategies of increasing complexity are compared: a zero-intelligence constrained baseline, a boundary-price strategy, an extended storage cascade, and a market-adaptive pricing strategy. The simulation is conducted on a community of 33 prosumers at 15-minute resolution, spanning summer, winter, and spring to characterize seasonal variation. Results show that rule-based resource control substantially reduces community energy expenditure: the extended storage cascade achieves a total cost of 39.06 EUR compared to 62.38 EUR under the zero-intelligence baseline, a reduction of 37.4 %. The market-adaptive strategy yields the highest aggregate community financial gain through local energy market participation (14.40 EUR vs. 10.28 EUR for the baseline, a gain of 40.1 %) under summer conditions. Strategy effectiveness depends on both portfolio composition and seasonal supply conditions, requiring joint evaluation of resource control and pricing decisions.
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