arXiv:2607.18291cs.LGcs.AI2026-07

用双域融合LSTM提升时变可靠性分析精度与效率

Dual-domain fused LSTM modeling for efficient time-dependent reliability analysis

论文配图:Dual-domain fused LSTM modeling for efficient time-dependent reliability analysis
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 将时变与非时变变量联合建模,通过隐藏状态嵌入提升关联捕捉能力
  • 改进损失函数,重点优化最小响应预测,提升失效概率估算精度
  • 适合需高效评估长期安全性的工程系统,尤其含复杂随机交互场景

时变可靠性分析对保障工程系统在不确定性下的长期安全与性能至关重要。传统代理模型方法常难以整合非时变随机变量,并捕捉其与时变随机过程的复杂交互。为此,本文提出一种双域融合长短期记忆网络(DDF-LSTM),实现高效准确的时变可靠性分析。创新性地设计网络结构,同时处理时变与非时变域信息:将非时变变量嵌入初始隐藏状态,并引入全连接层,将LSTM输出与非时变变量共同映射至最终输出空间。此外,设计改进损失函数,强化模型对最小响应的敏感性,从而提高失效概率估计精度。所提方法能有效捕捉随机变量、随机过程与极限状态函数时序行为间的依赖关系。模型训练完成后,可实现低成本蒙特卡洛仿真,高效估算时变失效概率。四个案例研究验证了该方法在计算效率与预测准确性上的显著提升。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Time-dependent reliability analysis is crucial for ensuring the long-term safety and performance of engineering systems under uncertainties. However, traditional surrogate model methods often struggle to incorporate time-independent random variables and capture their complex interactions with time-dependent stochastic processes. To overcome this limitation, this paper proposes a dual-domain fused long short-term memory (DDF-LSTM) model for efficient and accurate time-dependent reliability analysis. A novel network architecture is developed to jointly process information from both time-dependent and time-independent domains. Specifically, the time-independent variables are embedded into the initial hidden states, and a fully connected layer is introduced to map both LSTM outputs and time-independent variables into the final output space. Furthermore, an improved loss function is designed to emphasize the model's sensitivity to minimum responses, thereby improving the precision of failure probability estimation. The proposed method effectively captures the dependencies among random variables, stochastic processes, and the temporal behavior of limit state functions. Once trained, the DDF-LSTM model enables efficient Monte Carlo simulation to estimate time-dependent failure probabilities with minimal computational cost. Four case studies validate the proposed method's enhanced computational efficiency and predictive accuracy.

可靠性分析LSTM时变模型工程应用

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