arXiv:2607.18329cs.LGcs.AI2026-07

解决电池健康度与寿命联合预测的误差不均衡问题,提升精度与稳定性。

Dynamic Loss Balancing for Joint SOH and RUL Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries via a Rotary SOH-Injected Prior Battery Transformer

  • 用动态权重机制自动调节健康度与寿命预测的梯度更新。
  • 在多个数据集上将健康度误差降至1.994% MAE,寿命预测误差控制在62.85循环内。
  • 适合嵌入式电池管理系统,兼顾精度与实时性,尤其适合电芯老化建模。

可靠的锂离子电池管理系统的部署对推动电气化至关重要,但健康状态(SOH)与剩余使用寿命(RUL)的联合预测仍受任务异方差性严重制约。传统多任务学习框架难以平衡SOH估计中低方差、有界噪声与长期RUL预测中无界、非线性增长的不确定性。本文提出旋转健康注入先验电池Transformer(RoSIP-Batt),一种统一的共估计框架,以解决此类优化冲突。通过将联合预测建模为贝叶斯多任务目标,引入同方差不确定性加权机制,根据学习到的残差噪声水平动态缩放任务特定梯度。架构采用解耦双分类令牌与按维度门控融合机制,并通过梯度剥离操作防止高方差的RUL更新污染稳定的SOH表示空间。为捕捉电化学退化模式而不依赖绝对循环步数,共享Transformer骨干网络引入旋转位置编码(RoPE),建模平移不变的相对时间特征。关键的是,中间的SOH估计值被直接注入RUL回归头作为物理退化先验。在NASA、MIT-Stanford和HUST数据集上的评估表明,RoSIP-Batt显著优于现有最优基线,在NASA数据集上将SOH估计误差降低至1.994% MAE,于Stanford数据集将RUL预测误差限制在62.85个循环以内。这些结果确立了RoSIP-Batt作为一种高度泛化、计算高效、适用于实时嵌入式电池管理系统部署的解决方案。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

The deployment of reliable lithium-ion battery management systems is crucial for accelerating electrification, yet the joint prognosis of State of Health (SOH) and Remaining Useful Life (RUL) remains severely hindered by task heteroscedasticity. Conventional multi-task learning frameworks fail to balance the bounded, low-variance noise of SOH estimation with the unbounded, nonlinearly expanding uncertainty of long-term RUL predictions. Here, we present the Rotary SOH-Injected Prior Battery Transformer (RoSIP-Batt), a unified co-estimation framework that resolves these optimization conflicts. By formulating joint prediction as a Bayesian multi-task objective, RoSIP-Batt introduces a homoscedastic uncertainty weighting mechanism to dynamically scale task-specific gradients based on learned residual noise levels. The architecture leverages decoupled dual classification tokens and a per-dimension gated fusion mechanism, secured by a gradient-detachment operator to prevent high-variance RUL updates from corrupting the stable SOH representation space. To capture electrochemical degradation patterns without relying on absolute cycle steps, Rotary Position Embedding (RoPE) is incorporated into a shared Transformer backbone to model translation-invariant relative temporal profiles. Crucially, the intermediate SOH estimate is directly injected into the RUL regression head as a physical degradation prior. Evaluations across the NASA, MIT-Stanford, and HUST datasets show that RoSIP-Batt significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines, reducing SOH estimation error to 1.994% MAE on NASA and restricting RUL prediction error to 62.85 cycles on Stanford. These findings establish RoSIP-Batt as a highly generalizable, computationally efficient solution suitable for real-time embedded BMS deployment.

电池管理多任务学习时间序列深度学习

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