融合热-机械信号,实现锂电热失控更早预警。
Regime-Aware Physics-Guided Early Warning of Lithium-Ion Battery Thermal Runaway Using Thermo-Mechanical Signals

- 基于力、变形等机械信号识别安全、预警、危险三类状态
- 提前15.6秒预警,误报率仅2.7%,比最强基线多出69.6%领先时间
- 适合电池安全监测与电动汽车/储能系统风险防控场景
锂离子电池热失控严重威胁电动车与储能系统安全。现有方法主要依赖温度,可能忽略快速升温前的机械前兆。本文提出一种机制感知的物理引导框架,融合温度、电压、力、形变及荷电状态信号,在受控机械滥用条件下实现早期预警。轻量级卷积分类器首先从机械信号中判断安全、预警、危险三类工况;这些判断通过特征线性调制、物理偏置注意力与工况自适应门控,动态调控因果时序卷积主干。联合学习统一完成工况识别、热失控检测与剩余寿命估计。在30次机械滥用测试中,涵盖10%、50%、90%三种荷电状态及两种加载协议,采用留一实验交叉验证。结果表明:F1分数达0.89,高温预测均方根误差为12.3 °C,平均预警提前时间为15.6 秒,检测成功率0.92,实验级误报率2.7%。其领先时间比最强基线高出69.6%。移除力信号后预警提前时间下降60.3%,凸显机械前兆的关键价值。结果支持机制感知的热-机械融合是受控滥用下更早、更可靠预警的可行策略。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Thermal runaway in lithium-ion batteries poses a major safety risk to electric vehicles and energy storage systems. Current early-warning methods depend mainly on temperature and may therefore miss mechanical precursors that emerge before rapid heating. We introduce a regime-aware, physics-guided framework that integrates temperature, voltage, force, deformation, and state-of-charge measurements for early warning under controlled mechanical abuse. A lightweight convolutional classifier first infers safe, warning, or danger regimes from mechanical signals. These regime estimates then condition a causal temporal convolutional backbone through feature-wise linear modulation, physics-biased attention, and regime-dependent gating. Joint learning unifies regime identification, thermal-runaway detection, and time-to-disaster estimation. We evaluate the framework using leave-one-experiment-out cross-validation on 30 mechanical-abuse tests across state-of-charge levels of 10%, 50%, and 90% and two loading protocols. The method achieves an F1 score of 0.89, a high-temperature prediction root-mean-square error of 12.3 °C, a mean warning lead time of 15.6 s, a detection success rate of 0.92, and an experiment-level false alarm rate of 2.7%. Its lead time exceeds that of the strongest baseline by 69.6%. Removing force reduces the lead time by 60.3%, highlighting the value of mechanical precursors. These results support regime-aware thermo-mechanical fusion as a promising strategy for earlier and more reliable thermal-runaway warning under controlled abuse conditions.
Thank you to arXiv for use of its open access interoperability. PaperDance 不是 arXiv 官方产品;中文卡片由大模型生成,请以原文为准。