arXiv:2607.18943cs.AIcs.CY2026-07

通用智能需跨层次非还原性约束,单一技术无法突破。

What General Intelligence Requires: Non-Reducible Constraints Across Levels of Description

  • 从人工智能、人类学等四领域切入,构建多层次约束框架
  • 提出23项结构约束,分8类并形成递进层级关系
  • 可验证的5个预测推动长期研究,超越单纯模型缩放

通用智能并非仅由计算架构决定。本文主张:制约通用智能的结构性约束分布在不同描述层次,且彼此不可还原(依特殊科学传统定义)。因此,任何单一架构进步或持续缩放均无法催生人工通用智能(AGI),研究须评估完整约束谱系而非单一基准表现。通过人工智能、人类学、法律与经济学四重证据视角,结合有纪律的科幻虚构作为发现启发工具,推导出23项结构性约束,归为8个集群;其中6项深入分析,并按递进层次排列,明确各层进展无法自动传递至下一层。由此得出5个可证伪预测,每项含具体基准族与反证条件,将描述框架转化为具有更长远视野的研究计划,超越缩放假说的局限。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

General intelligence, of the kind that underwrites the full range of human cognitive achievement, is not a property of computational architecture alone. This paper advances a single thesis: the structural constraints on general intelligence occupy distinct levels of description and are mutually non-reducible, in the sense that the special-sciences tradition gives to that term. It follows that no single architectural advance, and no continuation of the scaling programme by itself, can produce artificial general intelligence (AGI), and that research programmes must be evaluated against the full constraint profile rather than against performance on any one benchmark. The thesis is developed through a method that reads general intelligence through four evidential lenses, AI systems research, anthropology, law, and economics, each anchored to a distinct level of description, supplemented by speculative fiction used as a disciplined heuristic in the context of discovery rather than the context of justification. Applying the method yields a taxonomy of twenty-three structural constraints organised into eight clusters; six are examined in depth and ordered as an ascending ladder of levels, with explicit bridges showing why progress at one level cannot carry to the next. The argument issues in five falsifiable predictions, each stated with a named benchmark family and a disconfirmation condition, converting a descriptive framework into a research programme with a longer horizon than the scaling hypothesis implies.

通用智能认知架构多层级约束研究范式

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