测试AI能否从原始数据中自动推断出正确的病原体基因组分析流程。
BioSecBench-Surveillance: A Verifiable Benchmark for AI Agents in Pathogen Genomic Surveillance

- 构建100项可验证任务,模拟真实人类分析场景
- 最强模型仅达50.2%正确率,多数错误源于参数选择
- 适合关注生物安全与AI可信度的研究者
随着病原体基因组监测规模扩大,瓶颈正从数据生成转向分析。我们提出BioSecBench-Surveillance,一个包含100项评估的可验证基准,测试AI代理能否从原始测序数据和监测上下文中推断出正确的分析流程。每项评估仅提供人类分析师所拥有的数据与上下文,答案以结构化形式判定,结果确定性评分。任务涵盖七类,包括分类、基因工程检测等,覆盖多种样本类型与测序技术。在16个模型-框架组合的3,962次可评分尝试中,表现最佳配置为Opus 4.8 + PI,准确率达50.2%,95%置信区间40.1至60.3%,与GPT-5.5 + Codex并列;其次为Opus 4.7 + PI(49.6%),Sonnet 4.6 + PI(48.6%)。即使流程正确,错误仍多源于参考文献、阈值、过滤器与归一化方式的选择。该基准为评估代理在疫情爆发时是否可信执行基因组监测提供了标准。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
As pathogen genomic surveillance scales, the bottleneck is shifting from data generation to analysis. We present BioSecBench-Surveillance, a verifiable benchmark of 100 evaluations testing whether AI agents can infer the right analysis pipeline from raw sequencing data and surveillance context. Each evaluation gives an agent only the data and context a human analyst would have, then grades its structured answer deterministically. The tasks span seven categories, from taxonomic classification to genetic-engineering detection, across diverse sample types and sequencing technologies. Across 3,962 gradable attempts from sixteen model-harness pairs, the strongest configuration cleared only about half. Opus 4.8 with PI led at 50.2 percent, with a 95 percent confidence interval of 40.1 to 60.3 percent across 83 evaluations, tied with GPT-5.5 with Codex at 50.2 percent, with a 95 percent confidence interval of 40.8 to 59.6 percent, followed by Opus 4.7 with PI at 49.6 percent, with a 95 percent confidence interval of 40.0 to 59.2 percent, and Sonnet 4.6 with PI at 48.6 percent, with a 95 percent confidence interval of 38.9 to 58.3 percent. Even when agents invoked the correct workflows, their mistakes came from the choices around them, such as which references, thresholds, filters, and normalization to apply. BioSecBench-Surveillance provides a standard for measuring whether agents can be trusted to perform genomic surveillance when the next outbreak arrives.
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