arXiv:2607.19389cs.CYcs.AI2026-07

用模拟器研究信贷模型长期公平性,发现考虑行为反馈更优。

Simulating Eutopia: Revisiting Long-term Fairness with Outcomes, Performativity, and Dynamics

论文配图:Simulating Eutopia: Revisiting Long-term Fairness with Outcomes, Performativity, and Dynamics
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 将信贷决策建模为动态反馈过程,引入绩效化马尔可夫决策框架。
  • 在模拟中训练算法,结果表明兼顾公平与效率的策略更可持续。
  • 适合关注长期社会影响的政策制定者和算法设计者。

随着人工智能决策者(ADMs)影响社会经济现实,其在提升效率的同时加剧社会偏见的问题日益突出。本文重新审视信贷借贷场景下人工智能决策者实现长期公平性的复杂性。现有研究多假设环境静止(即预测结果不影响人群行为),且仅以即时预测差异衡量偏差,这不适用于现代信贷机构等具有反馈效应的系统。为此,我们首次将信贷决策与多群体财富动态建模为具备决策者层级与社会结果层级奖励的绩效化马尔可夫决策过程。进一步,开发了Eutopia——一个支持新型绩效化数据生成的贷款流程模拟器,用于学习长期公平策略。实验对比了绩效化与传统强化学习算法在不同公平导向与功利性目标下的表现。结果表明:(a) 考虑绩效动态的学习方法能带来更高长期效率与公平性;(b) 在社会结果上设计合理的公平目标,可显著提升效率、公平性与包容性。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

As AI-driven Decision Makers (ADMs) influence our socioeconomic reality, their roles in both enhancing efficiency and amplifying the social biases have drawn attention. In this paper, we revisit the nuances of long-term `fairness' achievable by an ADM, specifically in the context of a credit lending induced wealth process. The literature on long-term fairness mostly (a) considers passive environments, i.e. the outcome of a predictor does not change the population's behaviour, and (b) measures bias in terms of disparity in instantaneous predictions rather than the downstream equity. These are not true for modern ADMs, like credit lenders. To address these caveats, we first formalise the wealth dynamics induced by a loan approving ADM interacting with a multi-demographic population as a performative Markov Decision Process with ADM level and social outcome level reward functions. Then, we mitigate the absence of such a performative test-bed by developing Eutopia: a lending-process simulator enabled with a novel performative data generator to learn long-term fair strategies. Finally, we test performative and classical RL algorithms with different fairness-aware and utilitarian utilities. Experimental results show that (a) learning with performative dynamics lead to better long-term efficiency and equity, and (b) learning with well-designed fairness-aware utility evaluated on social outcomes induces better efficiency, equity, and inclusivity.

长期公平信贷模型绩效化学习

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