arXiv:2607.19974cs.LGcs.AI2026-07

用多种AI模型预测网络带宽使用率,帮运维选对工具

Time Series Network Utilization KPI Forecasting Using Advanced AI/ML Models

论文配图:Time Series Network Utilization KPI Forecasting Using Advanced AI/ML Models
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 用季节分解+多种机器学习与深度学习模型对比
  • 最优模型在MAPE、NRMSE、R²上表现优于传统方法
  • 给出准确率与效率权衡,适合网络规划人员参考

数据密集型应用、云基础设施和物联网生态的快速发展,使主动资源调配成为保障网络性能的关键。然而,传统被动应对方式难以准确预判流量波动,导致过度配置、意外中断和服务质量下降,直接影响运营成本与业务连续性。为实现高效容量规划,精准预测带宽利用率至关重要。本研究评估了包括季节分解、Prophet、随机森林、XGBoost、支持向量回归以及双向与卷积LSTM等先进深度学习架构在内的多种模型,采用统一接口数据集,并以MAPE、NRMSE和R²为指标进行比较。研究最终揭示了模型精度与计算效率之间的权衡关系,为工程师、运营商和企业主选择适合自身基础设施的预测模型提供了可操作的依据。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

The rapid proliferation of data-intensive applications, cloud infrastructure, and IoT ecosystems has made proactive resource provisioning critical for maintaining optimal network performance. However, network administrators face a constant battle against capacity constraints, where traditional reactive approaches fail to accurately anticipate traffic fluctuations. This inability to foresee demand leads to costly over-provisioning, unexpected downtime, and degraded quality of service directly impacting operational budgets and business continuity. To achieve efficient capacity planning, accurate forecasting of bandwidth utilization is essential. This study addresses the challenge by evaluating a diverse spectrum of models including seasonal decomposition, Prophet, Random Forest, XGBoost, Support Vector Regression, and advanced deep learning architectures like bidirectional and Convolutional LSTMs - using a common interface dataset benchmarked across MAPE, NRMSE, and R-square metrics. Ultimately, this research delivers actionable insights into the trade-offs between model accuracy and computational efficiency, empowering engineers, operators, and business owners to select the optimal forecasting model for their specific infrastructure needs.

网络预测时间序列AI建模带宽管理

Thank you to arXiv for use of its open access interoperability. PaperDance 不是 arXiv 官方产品;中文卡片由大模型生成,请以原文为准。