arXiv:2607.20505cs.ROcs.LG2026-07

用关系感知注意力模型预测路口冲突,准确率超98%

HERMES: Heterogeneous Edge-Relational Multi-Head Embedded SSM Attention for Traffic Conflict Prediction at Signalized Intersections

  • 构建异构图网络,区分车-车、车-人等不同交互关系
  • 在10.9万条轨迹上实现AUC-ROC 0.9898,误报率5%时检出率达95.7%
  • 支持跨路口迁移,少量数据下仍保持高精度

替代性安全度量(SSMs)可实现主动交通安全管理,但现有方法多独立评估成对交互或将多智能体场景简化为固定特征向量,难以表征异构交互结构与动态演变的风险。本文将交通冲突评估建模为时序异构场景图分类问题,提出HERMES:一种融合SSM信息的多头注意力异构边关系图神经网络。车辆与行人作为异构节点,车-车、车-人、人-人交互以带连续运动学与替代安全描述符的关系边编码。通过关系特定注意力、动态节点边更新、安全感知图池化及时间序列学习联合估计场景级冲突概率。在含109,028条轨迹的信号交叉口数据集上验证,增强版HERMES取得AUC-ROC 0.9898 ± 0.0013、AUC-PR 0.9412 ± 0.0067、F1 0.8449 ± 0.0103。在5%误报率下检测到95.7%的冲突序列,优于最强的Transformer基线与XGBoost。零样本外部评估中,AUC-ROC达0.9752,AUC-PR为0.7829。联合源-目标域训练在目标域数据有限时进一步提升性能。结果表明,保留异构交互拓扑、安全引导的边语义与短期时序演化,能显著提升场景级冲突分类能力,支持信号交叉口可迁移的道路安全监控。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Surrogate safety measures (SSMs) enable proactive traffic safety assessment, but many existing methods evaluate pairwise interactions independently or flatten multi-agent scenes into fixed feature vectors, limiting their ability to represent heterogeneous interaction structure and evolving scene-level risk. This study formulates traffic conflict assessment as temporal heterogeneous scene-graph classification and proposes HERMES, a heterogeneous edge-relational graph neural network with SSM-informed multi-head attention. Vehicles and pedestrians are represented as heterogeneous nodes, while vehicle-vehicle, vehicle-pedestrian, and pedestrian-pedestrian interactions are encoded as relation-specific edges with continuous kinematic and surrogate-safety descriptors. Relation-specific attention, dynamic node-edge updates, safety-aware graph pooling, and temporal sequence learning are jointly used to estimate scene-level conflict probability. HERMES was evaluated using 109,028 trajectory-derived sequences from a signalized urban intersection and tested on an independently collected comparable intersection dataset. Enhanced HERMES achieved an AUC-ROC of 0.9898 +/- 0.0013, an AUC-PR of 0.9412 +/- 0.0067, and an F1 score of 0.8449 +/- 0.0103. At a 5% false-alarm rate, it detected 95.7% of conflict sequences, outperforming the strongest Transformer baseline and XGBoost. In zero-shot external evaluation, HERMES achieved an AUC-ROC of 0.9752 and an AUC-PR of 0.7829. Joint source-target training further improved target-site performance with limited target-site data. These findings show that preserving heterogeneous interaction topology, safety-informed edge semantics, and short-term temporal evolution improves scene-level conflict classification and supports transferable roadside safety monitoring at signalized intersections.

交通预测图神经网络安全监控

Thank you to arXiv for use of its open access interoperability. PaperDance 不是 arXiv 官方产品;中文卡片由大模型生成,请以原文为准。