arXiv:2607.20549cs.LGcs.RO2026-07

让自动驾驶模型生成指定碰撞风险程度的车辆交互轨迹。

SevDiff: Severity-Conditioned Diffusion for Long-Tail Conflict Trajectory Generation

  • 用扩散模型根据目标碰撞时间生成对应风险等级的车辆轨迹
  • 在0.5-2.5秒目标下命中率97%以上,5秒时仍达39%
  • 生成轨迹物理合理,适合用于高风险场景测试

自动驾驶评估用的轨迹数据严重偏向常规驾驶;真实车车冲突事件稀少,且越罕见,系统失效代价越高。现有生成方法虽能基于场景属性或自然语言条件生成轨迹,但无法以目标碰撞时间(TTC)为输入并保证生成结果贴近该值。本文提出SevDiff,一种严重性条件化的去噪扩散概率模型(DDPM),可接受指定最小TTC值作为标量条件信号,生成配对车辆交互轨迹,使其实际冲突严重性与请求一致,通过命中率指标评估。模型在468个交互窗口(来自UTE SQM-W-1高速公路变道段数据集,涵盖1,041辆车、822,691次平滑后观测)上训练,对0.5-1.5秒目标实现100%命中率(误差±0.5秒),2.0-2.5秒目标命中率97-99%,5.0秒时仍保持39%。生成轨迹的运动特征物理合理,12个特征中最大越界率为4.7%,超过96.5%样本无负速度或间距。命中率下降模式可解释为条件信号与训练先验的相对强度,体现生成器精度而非简单通过/失败。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Trajectory datasets used in ADAS evaluation are heavily biased toward routine driving; genuine vehicle-to-vehicle conflict events are rare, and the rarer the event, the higher the cost when an ADAS system fails to handle it. Existing generative approaches address this imbalance by conditioning on scene-level properties - spatial goals, agent structure, or natural-language adversarial objectives - but none can accept a target Time-to-Collision (TTC) value as input and be held to producing it within a measurable error. This paper introduces SevDiff, a severity-conditioned denoising diffusion probabilistic model (DDPM) that accepts a requested minimum TTC value as a scalar conditioning signal and generates paired vehicle interaction trajectories whose realized conflict severity matches the request, evaluated through a hit-rate metric. Trained on 468 interaction windows extracted from the UTE SQM-W-1 expressway weaving-section dataset (1,041 vehicles, 822,691 observations after smoothing), SevDiff achieves 100% hit-rate within +/-0.5 s for TTC targets of 0.5-1.5 s and 97-99% at 2.0-2.5 s, with graceful degradation to 39% at TTC = 5.0 s. Generated kinematic features are physically plausible, with a maximum out-of-range rate of 4.7% across 12 features and no negative speed or gap values in more than 96.5% of samples. The hit-rate degradation pattern is physically interpretable as the strength of the conditioning signal relative to the training prior, making it a precision characterization of the generator rather than a pass/fail result.

轨迹生成扩散模型自动驾驶风险模拟

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