为环境时空建模设计标准化报告协议,提升可复现性与透明度。
STeMP: Spatio-Temporal Modelling Protocol

- 提出STeMP协议,分三部分规范模型描述与流程
- 配套R包提供交互式填表工具并预警常见错误
- 适合科研人员和审稿人用于提升模型可信度
时空机器学习建模在环境研究中至关重要,但模型对训练数据分布及方法选择(如交叉验证策略)高度敏感,每个决策都会影响模型性能评估与应用可靠性。鉴于基于机器学习的环境制图在科学与实践中广泛应用,建立透明、标准化的建模报告协议尤为关键。现有研究缺乏此类协议,本文提出STeMP(Spatio-Temporal Modelling Protocol)填补空白,兼具模型解释与建模指导双重功能。协议分为三部分:概述(含元数据)、模型与预测(详述变量、评估方法、软件等)。协议文本托管于GitHub,配套R包提供网页应用,支持手动或半自动化填写建模对象,并在发现常见陷阱时发出警告,辅助作者与审稿人。社区可通过GitHub持续贡献与反馈。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Spatio-temporal machine-learning modelling is an important tool in environmental research. However, machine-learning models are highly sensitive to both the characteristics of the training data, such as its distribution, and methodological choices, including the cross-validation strategy. Each decision has impact and implications on the model itself as well as the estimation of the model quality and applicability for certain purposes. Taking into account the large role of machine-learning based maps of the environment in science and their transfer into practice, transparent reporting of spatio-temporal models, ideally using standardized model protocols, is essential to enable trust, transparency and comparability. However, such protocols are currently lacking for spatio-temporal modelling. We propose STeMP (Spatio-Temporal Modelling Protocol) to fill this gap by serving two purposes: standardized reporting to understand the model functioning as well as providing guidance during the modelling process by pointing at critical decisions and parameters. The protocol is structured in three sections: Overview, Model and Prediction. The Overview section contains metadata, while the Model and Prediction sections go into detail, describing predictors, evaluation and software, and further relevant elements of the modelling workflow. The protocol definition is hosted on GitHub and accompanied by an R-package (https://github.com/LOEK-RS/STeMP). The R-package contains a web application that can be used to fill the protocol either manually or in a semi-automated way from provided modelling objects. Warnings are returned from the protocol when common pitfalls are encountered, which may help authors as a guide through the modelling process but also support reviewers in the assessment of modelling studies. Via GitHub, incorporation of contributions and feedback from the community is encouraged.
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