arXiv:2607.22385cs.AIcs.LG2026-07

无需标注数据,自动推理故障根源并解释原因。

Agentic Root Cause Analysis through Evidence-Grounded Reasoning

论文配图:Agentic Root Cause Analysis through Evidence-Grounded Reasoning
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 用数字孪生+大模型迭代验证假设,动态收集证据。
  • 在真实工厂测试中表现媲美有监督方法,零样本部署。
  • 输出可解释的推理链,适合工业安全与运维人员。

异常根因诊断对工业安全运行至关重要。尽管传感器部署广泛,但假设生成与证据收集仍依赖人工,成为主要瓶颈。现有数据驱动方法虽试图自动化,但存在两大局限:无法解释诊断过程,且依赖稀缺的故障标注数据。为此,我们提出AgentRCA——一种零样本、基于证据的代理式根因分析框架。该框架不学习特定故障映射,而是在推理阶段结合数据驱动的数字孪生(建模正常系统动态)与工具增强的大语言模型,通过迭代收集统计证据、评估竞争性假设,识别最能解释观测行为的物理故障。在真实多相流装置和大型化工厂上评估,AgentRCA在无故障标注训练的情况下,诊断性能与全监督基线相当。关键优势在于生成透明的推理轨迹,明确关联观测症状与物理成因。结果表明,自主假设驱动推理可作为可扩展工业根因分析的实用基础。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Diagnosing the root cause of anomalies is essential for safe industrial operation. Despite extensive sensor instrumentation, formulating hypotheses and gathering evidence remains a manual process, creating a major operational bottleneck. While existing data-driven approaches aim to automate this, two critical limitations restrict their deployment: their operate as black boxes unable to justify their diagnosis, and they require scarce labeled examples of faulty operation. To address this gap, we introduce AgentRCA, a zero-shot agentic framework for evidence-grounded root cause analysis. Rather than learning fault-specific mappings, AgentRCA performs inference-time reasoning by combining a data-driven digital twin (modeling normal system dynamics) with a tool-augmented large language model. The agent iteratively gathers statistical evidence, evaluates competing hypotheses, and identifies the physical fault that best explains the observed behavior. Evaluated on a real-world multiphase-flow facility and a large-scale chemical plant, AgentRCA achieves diagnostic performance competitive with fully supervised baselines without relying on fault-specific training. Crucially, it produces transparent reasoning traces that explicitly link observed symptoms to their underlying physical causes. These results establish autonomous hypothesis-driven reasoning as a practical foundation for scalable industrial root cause analysis.

根因分析智能运维可解释性数字孪生

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