arXiv:2607.25468cs.CV2026-07

用分层推理提升农田损毁检测安全性,避免漏判农民损失。

Safety-Aware Cascaded Inference for Crop Damage Assessment with Controlled Error Trade-offs

论文配图:Safety-Aware Cascaded Inference for Crop Damage Assessment with Controlled Error Trade-offs
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 两阶段分层结构:轻量模型初筛,高风险样本交由专家模型细诊
  • 在肯尼亚数据集上实现97.4%损毁召回率,漏检减少54%
  • 可部署时调节阈值,适合对安全要求高于准确率的保险场景

在面向小农户的图像农业保险中,漏检损失的成本远高于误报:农民真实受损却未获赔付,而误报仅导致额外人工审核,可逆。标准多分类器优化全局准确率,但无法在推理时控制这种不对称成本。我们提出CascadeCropNet,一种两阶段级联架构,通过阈值选择确保目标召回率(损毁召回 ≥ 0.95)。轻量级Sentinel模型执行二分类健康筛查;超过校准损伤概率阈值τ的样本被升至专业专家模型进行细粒度诊断。该设计可在不重训练的情况下,实现推理时对安全-效率权衡的显式控制。在Eyes on the Ground数据集(23,804张肯尼亚小农户玉米田图像)上,当τ = 0.5时,损毁召回率达0.974,较基线减少54%漏检。在评估对齐条件下,表示差距缩小至+0.008 F1-macro,证实贡献来自架构而非表征。在输入退化情况下,系统优先升級而非自信误判,体现通过架构隔离实现误差控制,非模型固有鲁棒性。结果表明,级联架构可通过校准路由,在可靠性优先的场景中实现安全决策约束。这些特性依赖于阈值校准与部署条件,不保证在任意分布偏移下成立。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

In picture-based agricultural insurance for smallholder farmers, missed damage detections carry substantially higher cost than false alarms: a farmer who sustained real losses receives no payout, while unnecessary expert review is operationally costly but reversible. Standard multi-class classifiers optimize global accuracy but provide no mechanism to operationalize or control this asymmetric cost structure at inference time. We propose CascadeCropNet, a two-stage cascade architecture calibrated to satisfy a target recall constraint (Rec-Damaged >= 0.95) through threshold selection. A lightweight Sentinel model performs binary health triage; samples exceeding a calibrated damage probability threshold tau are escalated to a specialist Expert model for fine-grained diagnosis. This design provides explicit, deployment-time control over the safety-efficiency trade-off without retraining. Evaluated on the Eyes on the Ground dataset (23,804 images from Kenyan smallholder maize farms), the cascade achieves Rec-Damaged = 0.974 at tau = 0.5, reducing missed damage cases by up to 54% relative to a flat baseline. Under evaluation alignment, the representational gap reduces to +0.008 F1-macro, confirming the contribution is architectural rather than representational. Under input degradation, the system prioritizes escalation over confident misclassification, reflecting error containment through architectural isolation rather than intrinsic model robustness. These results demonstrate that cascade architectures can operationalize safety-oriented decision constraints through calibrated routing in settings where reliability matters more than aggregate accuracy. These properties depend on threshold calibration and deployment conditions and do not constitute guarantees under arbitrary distribution shift.

农业保险分层推理安全约束损毁检测

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