arXiv:2607.25875cs.LGcs.AI2026-07

针对动态变化的交通传感网络,提出实时自适应框架提升预测精度。

A2TTA: Anchored-and-Agile Test-Time Adaptation for Evolving Traffic Sensor Networks

论文配图:A2TTA: Anchored-and-Agile Test-Time Adaptation for Evolving Traffic Sensor Networks
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 通过锚点与敏捷机制分离拓扑演化与时间变化影响
  • 在10个真实数据集上显著提升不同模型和预测时长的性能
  • 适合智能交通系统中持续演化的传感器网络场景

交通预测对智慧城市中的高效交通管理与路径规划至关重要。现有研究多假设传感器图结构固定,忽视了现实交通网络的持续演变,如道路建设与出行模式变化。这些动态变化会严重降低传统预测模型性能,促使测试时自适应(TTA)技术用于部署阶段的模型调整。然而,将TTA应用于动态交通传感网络仍面临双重挑战:一是拓扑扩展引入新传感器与连接,持续重构传感图;二是时间漂移在时间尺度与稳定性上差异大,需区分长期与短期漂移进行差异化适应。本文提出A2TTA框架,将拓扑引发的预测误差转化为可扩展的输出校准问题,并将时间适应分解为持久性全局修正与敏捷的上下文特化。通过协同应对拓扑演化与多尺度时间漂移,A2TTA实现对持续演化的交通环境的高效鲁棒适应。在十个真实世界交通网络上的大量实验表明,A2TTA在不同骨干模型、数据集和预测时长下均能稳定提升预测性能。代码已开源:https://github.com/lixus7/A2TTA。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Traffic forecasting is important for efficient traffic management and route planning in smart cities. Existing traffic forecasting studies typically assume fixed sensor graphs, overlooking the continuous evolution of real-world traffic networks, e.g., ongoing road network construction and evolving human mobility patterns. These dynamic changes can substantially degrade conventional forecasting models, motivating test-time adaptation (TTA) to efficiently adapt pretrained models during deployment. However, applying TTA to evolving traffic sensor networks remains challenging in two aspects. First, topology expansion introduces new sensors and connections, continuously reshaping the sensor graph. Second, tem- poral shifts vary in time scale and stability, requiring differentiated adaptation to long-term and short-term shifts. In this study, we address these challenges by proposing A2TTA, an Anchored-and-Agile Test-Time Adaptation framework for evolving traffic sensor networks, which transforms topology-induced forecasting errors into an expandable output calibration problem and separates tem- poral adaptation into persistent global correction and agile context-specific specialization. By jointly addressing topology evolution and multi-scale temporal shifts, A2TTA enables efficient and robust adaptation to continuously evolving traffic environments. Extensive experiments on ten real-world traffic networks demonstrate that A2TTA consistently improves forecasting performance across different backbones, datasets, and prediction horizons. Our code is available in https://github.com/lixus7/A2TTA.

交通预测自适应动态图

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