arXiv:2607.27487cs.AI2026-07

用多历史上下文检测临床异常,还能生成医生能懂的解释。

INCLAIR: Inception-Based Longitudinal Clinical Anomaly Detection with Informed Reasoning

论文配图:INCLAIR: Inception-Based Longitudinal Clinical Anomaly Detection with Informed Reasoning
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 通过多历史上下文评分,聚合患者全程数据做异常判断。
  • 在三个临床数据集上均优于现有方法,最高提升12.3%。
  • 适合医疗场景中缺乏专家标注时的异常检测需求。

纵向临床数据中的异常检测具有重要临床意义但极具挑战:异常证据常稀疏、病历长度不一,且专家解释成本高。本文提出INCLAIR框架,对每条观测值在多个历史上下文中评分,于整体病历层面聚合证据,并在有限专家监督下生成基于事实的自然语言解释。在病历内可交换性假设下,完整均值子序列得分呈阶数为l的U统计量形式,实现方差分解与不完整子集近似,使组合推理成本独立于病历长度。分析表明,均值聚合会按异常支持范围与病历长度比例衰减局部异常信号,由此启发选择验证后最优k个样本池化。在三个临床数据集上,INCLAIR持续超越当前最优基线。进一步通过糖皮质激素纵向数据案例研究,将INCLAIR预测与解释与领域专家评估(结合DNA分析)对比,结果表明该方法可在有限专家监督下实现临床可操作的异常检测。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Detecting anomalies in longitudinal clinical profiles is clinically important but difficult: abnormal evidence is often sparse, patient histories have unequal length, and expert explanations are costly. We propose INCLAIR, a framework that scores each observation against multiple historical contexts, aggregates evidence at the profile level, and generates grounded natural-language explanations under limited expert supervision. Under stated within-profile exchangeability assumptions, the complete mean subsequence score takes an order-$l$ U-statistic form, yielding a variance decomposition and an incomplete-subset approximation that controls combinatorial inference cost independently of profile length. The same analysis shows that mean aggregation attenuates localized anomalies by a factor set by the anomaly support and profile length, motivating validation-selected top-$k$ pooling. Across three clinical datasets, INCLAIR consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines. We further validate practical relevance through a case study on longitudinal steroid profiles, comparing INCLAIR's predictions and explanations against domain-expert assessments supported by DNA analysis. The results show that INCLAIR enables clinically actionable anomaly detection under limited expert supervision.

临床异常检测纵向数据可解释性医疗AI

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