用模拟生成的结构化特征提升肺癌生存预测准确率
Structured Proxy Features for Multimodal NSCLC Survival Prediction from Pretreatment CT
- 通过细胞自动机模拟生成肿瘤生长与坏死的代理特征
- 在390例患者数据上达到C-index 0.641,优于已有模型
- 适合关注医学影像与生物机制融合的研究者
肺癌每年导致约180万例死亡,非小细胞肺癌(NSCLC)占多数。尽管治疗进步,生存分层仍因肿瘤内部异质性难以捕捉而困难。传统影像组学与深度学习将特征视为独立量,忽视其相互作用。本文通过六种模拟衍生特征,增强基线CT、影像组学和临床变量,以捕捉异质性与形态间的结构化交互。使用熵与球形度计算低维代理参数,构建放射组学参数化的细胞自动机,生成生长率与坏死比代理特征。影像主干采用经系统评估优选的Transformer掩码自编码器(TMAE),可提供注意力可视化。在公开的Lung1队列(n=390)上,四模态融合模型获得C-index 0.641(iAUC 0.731,log-rank p<0.001),优于先前在相同协议下报告的结果(C-index 0.631;iAUC 0.592)。探索性系数优化分析进一步达到最佳C-index 0.662(iAUC 0.748)。结果表明,在固定基准下,模拟生成的代理特征可为生存预测提供互补信息。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Lung cancer results in roughly 1.8 million fatalities annually worldwide, with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) comprising the majority of cases. Despite advancements in treatment, survival stratification remains challenging due to intratumoral heterogeneity inadequately captured by conventional descriptors. Standard radiomic and deep learning techniques regard imaging features as independent quantities, overlooking structured interactions between tumor characteristics. We evaluate whether structured proxy features can enhance multimodal NSCLC survival prediction by augmenting pretreatment computed tomography (CT) representations, radiomics, and clinical variables with six simulation-derived features designed to capture interactions between heterogeneity and morphology. A radiomic-parameterized cellular automaton generates growth-rate and necrosis-ratio proxy features from baseline CT by using entropy and sphericity to compute low-dimensional proxy parameters. The imaging backbone is a Transformer-based Masked Autoencoder (TMAE), which was chosen after a systematic evaluation with alternative encoders within the same pipeline and provides attention-based visualizations that highlight tumor regions receiving higher model attention. On the public Lung1 cohort (n = 390), the primary four-modality fusion attained a C-index of 0.641 (iAUC 0.731, log-rank p < 0.001). The primary result compares favorably with prior multimodal results on Lung1 (C-index 0.631; iAUC 0.592 [15]) under a comparable evaluation protocol, while a separate exploratory coefficient-optimization analysis achieved a best observed C-index of 0.662 (iAUC 0.748). These results indicate that, in addition to conventional radiomic, deep, and clinical representations within the Lung1 benchmark, simulation-derived proxy features may provide complementary predictive information within this fixed Lung1 benchmark.
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