无需高精地图,通过物理引导实现精准轨迹预测。
SIPTraj: Map-Free End-to-End Trajectory Prediction via Physics-Guided Scene Interaction

- 分层编码器逐步将车辆嵌入场景,增强上下文关联
- 物理引导解码器在内部状态中融入运动约束,提升轨迹合理性
- 在nuScenes和Argoverse 2上超越现有无图方法及部分有图基线
自动驾驶中,周围交通参与者轨迹预测是安全规划的前提。在缺乏高精地图的情况下,传感器生成的鸟瞰图特征无法提供车道拓扑或可行驶区域先验,导致难以将每个参与者与其场景上下文对齐。同时,仅靠数据驱动难以捕捉物理可行性,因运动学约束无法在无结构监督下显式编码。现有无图预测模型通过单次融合提取全局场景上下文,且仅以输出惩罚方式处理物理约束,未能解决上述挑战。本文提出SIPTraj,一种联合解决场景定位与物理可行性的无图轨迹预测框架。其引入分层代理-场景编码器(HASE),逐步将每个代理嵌入由代理引导的场景证据中,并在场景对齐空间内优化代理间关系。为应对预测轨迹的物理不可行性,设计物理引导迭代解码器(PGID),基于瞬时运动状态进行条件解码,将物理监督注入内部表示而非仅输出阶段。在nuScenes和Argoverse 2 Sensor上的大量实验表明,SIPTraj在无需高精地图推理条件下,优于现有无图预测方法,并达到部分有图基线性能。代码将开源。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Trajectory prediction of surrounding agents is a prerequisite for safe planning and decision making in autonomous driving. Without high-definition (HD) maps, sensor-derived bird's-eye-view (BEV) features provide no explicit lane topology or drivable-area priors, making it inherently difficult to ground each agent in its surrounding scene context. Moreover, physical feasibility remains difficult to capture through data-driven learning alone, as kinematic constraints on agent motion cannot be explicitly encoded without structured supervision. Existing map-free predictors extract scene context in an agent-agnostic manner through a single fusion step and treat physical constraints only as output-level penalties, leaving both challenges unaddressed. We propose SIPTraj, a map-free trajectory prediction framework that jointly addresses scene grounding and physical feasibility. SIPTraj introduces a Hierarchical Agent-Scene Encoder (HASE) progressively grounding each agent in agent-guided scene evidence and refining inter-agent relations within the scene-grounded space. To tackle physical infeasibility in predicted trajectories, we develop a Physics-Guided Iterative Decoder (PGID). It conditions decoding on instantaneous kinematic states, propagating physical supervision into internal representations rather than output trajectories alone. Extensive experiments on nuScenes and Argoverse 2 Sensor show that SIPTraj surpasses prior map-free predictors and strong map-based baselines without any HD map at inference. Our code will be released as open-source.
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