arXiv:2608.01432cs.AIecon.GN2026-08

AGI时代价值理论重构,以繁荣为核心衡量社会进步。

A New Theory of Value for Post-AGI Economics

  • 提出繁荣价值理论,以反事实贡献定义价值
  • 强调公平分配与生态约束下的可持续繁荣
  • 适合政策制定者与未来经济体系设计者参考

人工通用智能(AGI)可能削弱劳动、专长、信息和生产能力的稀缺性,导致市场价格、劳动投入、显性偏好、利润和总产出与人类及社会福祉严重偏离。本文提出繁荣价值理论(FVT),将价值定义为系统、制度、资产或干预对个人与社区在社会与地球约束下实现持久繁荣的反事实、分布敏感贡献。该理论强调价值的多维性、主体性保留、再生性以及关键阈值下的非补偿性。结合人工智能经济学、福利与能力理论、自动化、数字估值与生态经济学,区分价值创造与价值捕获,保留价格、利润、生产率与GDP作为部分信号而非终极指标。构建从稀缺到受控丰盈、交易到转化、零和竞争到正和无限游戏的转型框架,以集体意识扩展作为主体保留的再生价值形式。基于繁荣度量与繁荣回报(RoF),提出企业、政府、工作转型、AI治理与国家核算的分层架构。后AGI时代的经济核心问题不是最大化产出,而是如何将丰富智能转化为公平分布的人类、社会与地球繁荣。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Artificial general intelligence (AGI) may weaken scarcities in labour, expertise, information, and productive capability that underpin established theories of economic value. If cognitive work becomes widely automatable, market price, labour input, revealed preference, profit, and gross output may diverge sharply from human and societal benefit. This paper develops Flourishing Value Theory (FVT) as a foundation for post-AGI economics. FVT defines value as the counterfactual, distribution-sensitive contribution of a system, institution, asset, or intervention to the durable capabilities of persons and communities to flourish within social and planetary constraints. It treats societal value as multidimensional, agency-preserving, regenerative, and non-compensatory at critical thresholds. Drawing on the economics of AI, welfare and capability theory, automation, digital valuation, and ecological economics, the paper distinguishes value creation from value capture and retains price, profit, productivity, and GDP as partial signals rather than final measures of progress. It develops the shifts from scarcity to governed abundance, transaction to transformation, and zero-sum rivalry to positive-sum and infinite-game dynamics, with collective expansion of consciousness as an agency-preserving form of regenerative value. Building on Flourishing Metrics and Return on Flourishing (RoF), it proposes a layered architecture for firms, governments, work transitions, AI governance, and national accounting. The central post-AGI economic problem is not how to maximise output, but how to convert abundant intelligence into durable, fairly distributed human, societal, and planetary flourishing.

AGI经济价值理论繁荣度量

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