arXiv:2608.05979cs.CV2026-08

让遥感模型学会跨年推理,用历史预测和外部图层提升作物识别准确率。

Multi-Year Geospatial Reasoning using Interannually-Consistent Historical Predictions as a Free Input Modality

论文配图:Multi-Year Geospatial Reasoning using Interannually-Consistent Historical Predictions as a Free Input Modality
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 将历史预测与外部植被图层作为输入,让模型跨年建模作物变化。
  • 在540万像素上,作物分类F1提升1.6个百分点,多年生作物识别显著改善。
  • 适合需长期追踪地表变化的遥感应用,如农业监测与环境评估。

深度学习广泛用于生成年度土地覆盖与作物类型图等高阶地球观测产品。这些系统每年处理新数据,通常使用同一模型,逐步积累多时相档案。但其自身的历史预测结果及合作方提供的辅助图层(如基础植被层)极少被反馈回模型,仅用于后处理或固定掩码。以哥白尼陆地监测服务高分辨率图层(HRL)作物类型产品为测试平台,我们证明将这两类信号引入模型可使单年单任务像素分类器具备跨年推理能力。提出作物类型(CTY)嵌入编码器,将每期预测表示为置信度加权、时间有序的类别标记,并沿年份轴进行注意力计算;同时研究了基础植被层(BVL)掩码在输入与输出中的合理表示方式。为公平比较,仅在18类作物上评估精确率与召回率。在约540万标注像素的泛欧洲数据集上,引入预测历史使作物类别的F1提升1.6个百分点,尤其对多年生作物改善明显(橄榄+4.6,水果+3.7,坚果+3.2个百分点)。在历史与目标年均一致表示BVL掩码,作物类再增2.5个百分点。该方法为周期性地理空间或基础模型提供低成本跨年推理方案。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Machine learning, and deep networks in particular, are increasingly used to derive higher-level Earth observation (EO) products such as annual land-cover and crop-type maps. Many are generated operationally: each year a new acquisition is processed, typically with the same model, extending a multi-year archive. In the process these systems accumulate two kinds of useful signal that are almost never fed back into the model: the system's own archive of past predictions, and ancillary layers produced by other partners in a processing consortium. Both are normally used outside the network, as rule-based post-processing or a fixed input mask. Using the Copernicus Land Monitoring Service High Resolution Layer (HRL) Croplands crop-type product as a testbed, we show that bringing both signals inside the model turns a single-year, single-task pixel classifier into one that reasons across years. We introduce a Crop Type (CTY) embedding encoder that represents each past prediction as a confidence-scaled, time-ordered categorical token and attends over the year axis, and we study how the externally provided Base Vegetation Layer (BVL) mask should be represented in the model's inputs and outputs. To compare designs fairly when they relabel non-crop pixels, we evaluate on the 18 crop classes only and report precision and recall separately. On a pan-European dataset of about 5.4M labelled pixels, adding the prediction history raises crop-only F1 by 1.6 percentage points (pp) and, more importantly, corrects a recall-skewed error profile, with the largest gains on perennial and tree crops (olives +4.6, fruits +3.7, nuts +3.2 pp). Representing the BVL mask consistently in both the history and the target year adds about 2.5 pp on the crop classes. The approach is a low-cost recipe for any recurring geospatial or foundation model that emits class maps.

遥感跨年推理作物分类深度学习

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