arXiv:2608.06020cs.AIcs.LG2026-08

构建可自演化经济系统的蓝图,让AI模拟真实世界中的复杂经济行为。

From Economic Agents to Agentic Economies: A Systems Blueprint for Economic World Models

论文配图:From Economic Agents to Agentic Economies: A Systems Blueprint for Economic World Models
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 分六层构建经济世界模型,从规则代理到具备大模型能力的自进化主体
  • 现有研究多停留在低阶代理模拟,高阶自演化与制度内生系统仍稀缺
  • 为政策制定者和AI训练提供高保真沙盒,适合经济仿真与智能体安全评估

经济世界模型(EWMs)是生成式经济模型,通过建模异质性主体、其信念与行为,以及市场与制度机制,模拟经济如何由内部演化。本文提出一套实现路径,将经济世界模型构建成生成引擎,使异质主体在市场与制度中行动、互动、适应并共同演化,从而内生产生经济动态。我们将EWM系统组织为六级能力阶梯:从固定规则代理世界,到基于大模型的自适应代理、自演化代理、制度演化世界,最终实现与真实观测对齐的仿真-现实经济孪生。系统文献综述显示,现有工作集中于底层代理与仿真环境,而具备自演化主体、内生制度、持续实证对齐及经验证据机制的系统仍极为稀少。本文将EWM愿景转化为实施蓝图,旨在加速下一代经济仿真环境的发展,为人类决策者提供高保真沙盒,并为人工智能代理提供训练、规划、评估与安全基底。我们发布了精选论文列表及相关资源以支持后续研究。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Economic World Models (EWMs) are generative economic models that simulate how economies evolve from within by modeling heterogeneous agents, their beliefs and actions, and the market and institutional mechanisms through which their interactions produce aggregate outcomes. This paper develops an implementation roadmap for building economic world models as generative engines in which heterogeneous agents act, interact, adapt, and co-evolve with markets and institutions, thereby producing economic dynamics from the inside. We organize EWM systems into a six-level capability ladder, from fixed rule-based agent worlds to adaptive and LLM-based agent worlds, self-evolving agents, evolving institutional worlds, and sim-to-real economic twins aligned with real observations. A systematic literature survey across these levels reveals that existing work remains concentrated in lower-level agent and simulation environments, while systems with self-evolving agents, endogenous institutions, persistent empirical alignment, and validated economic mechanisms remain rare. By translating the EWM agenda into an implementation blueprint, this paper aims to accelerate the development of the next generation of economic simulation environments that can serve as high-fidelity sandboxes for human decision-makers and as training, planning, evaluation, and safety substrates for AI agents. We release a curated paper list and related resources to support future research.

经济模拟智能体系统生成模型仿真平台

Thank you to arXiv for use of its open access interoperability. PaperDance 不是 arXiv 官方产品;中文卡片由大模型生成,请以原文为准。