将时序信号分解为趋势与周期分量,用柯普曼算子分别建模以提升预测精度。
End-to-End Neural Decomposition with Koopman Operators for Time-Series Forecasting
- 将信号分解为趋势与周期分量,分别用频率无关和频率相关柯普曼网络建模。
- 在多个基准数据集上实现更强的预测性能,尤其适用于非平稳信号。
- 首个端到端联合学习信号分解与柯普曼算子的神经框架,适合时序预测研究者。
柯普曼理论通过将观测值映射到线性时不变柯普曼算子控制的高维空间,为非线性序列动力学提供了线性算子视角。尽管柯普曼算子能线性化非线性动态,但通常为无限维且依赖于时不变假设。为建模具有频率依赖行为的非平稳信号,需引入频率可变扩展。近年来,深度学习凭借强大的函数逼近能力被用于学习柯普曼算子。本文提出一种名为神经分解柯普曼(NDKoop)的新方法,是一种端到端架构,整合可学习的信号分解模块与频率无关及频率相关柯普曼网络进行序列预测。据我们所知,这是首个在统一神经框架中联合实现端到端柯普曼建模与信号分解的工作。实验表明,在无法实现完美线性化的情况下,将信号分解为频率无关的趋势分量与频率相关周期分量,并分别由对应柯普曼算子驱动,可显著提升预测准确率。在多个预测基准上的数值实验验证了该方法的优越性能。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Koopman theory offers a linear-operator view of nonlinear sequence dynamics by lifting observations into a space where evolution is governed by a linear time-invariant Koopman operator. While the Koopman operator provides a linear representation of nonlinear dynamics, it is generally infinite dimensional and defined under time-invariant assumptions. To model non-stationary signals with frequency-dependent behavior, a frequency-varying extension is required. In recent years, deep learning has been increasingly employed to exploit its powerful function-approximation ability for learning the Koopman operator. In this study, we propose a novel approach called neural decomposition Koopman (NDKoop), an end-to-end architecture that integrates a learnable signal decomposition module with both frequency-independent and frequency-dependent Koopman based networks for sequence forecasting. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work to jointly realize end-to end Koopman modeling and signal decomposition within a unified neural framework. We demonstrate that decomposing a signal into a frequency-independent trend component and a frequency-dependent periodic component, each governed by a corresponding Koopman operator, improves prediction accuracy when perfect linearization is unattainable. Numerical experiments across several forecasting benchmarks indicate that the proposed NDKoop provides strong performance.
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