arXiv:2608.09622cs.AIcs.SY2026-08中稿 · IEEE Transactions …

用自适应策略优化芯片可靠性测试,提升失败预测准确率。

Adaptive Sequential Test Planning for Multi-Mechanism Reliability Qualification via Bayesian Monte Carlo Tree Search

论文配图:Adaptive Sequential Test Planning for Multi-Mechanism Reliability Qualification via Bayesian Monte Carlo Tree Search
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 结合贝叶斯与蒙特卡洛树搜索,动态调整测试顺序以应对不同失效机制。
  • 测试成功率从20%提升至54%,关键损伤值均在安全范围内。
  • 适合需要高精度可靠性评估的半导体研发人员使用。

先进半导体器件的可靠性验证需在多个竞争性失效机制间权衡应力测试策略。现有方法依赖基于群体加速模型的静态测试计划,无法适应单个器件的差异或实时退化数据。本文提出一种闭环自适应测试规划框架,将可靠性验证建模为部分可观测的序列决策问题,采用蒙特卡洛树搜索(MCTS-SA)与扩展卡尔曼滤波(EKF)信念状态估计联合求解。该框架建模了偏置温度不稳定性(BTI)、电迁移(EM)和时间依赖介电击穿(TDDB)的随机个体差异,并将应力选择视为受限的序列优化:在保证不发生灾难性失效的前提下最大化退化特征表征的成功概率。在离散应力动作、代理损伤可观测、无恢复累积退化的实验假设下,该方法实现了对多机制可靠性验证的创新应用。经过5000次规划迭代,特征表征产量(CY)从初始500次的20%提升至最后500次的54%,累计成功率达39%;最优成功测试序列中EM与TDDB损伤分数分别为DEM=0.564和DTDDB=0.537,远低于安全阈值。结果表明,序列贝叶斯规划可生成显著优于非自适应策略的损伤感知测试策略。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Reliability qualification of advanced semiconductor devices requires sequential stress decisions that balance characterization objectives against multiple competing failure mechanisms. Current practice relies on static test plans derived from population-level acceleration models, which cannot adapt to per-unit variability or real-time degradation observations. This paper presents a closed-loop adaptive test planning framework that formulates reliability qualification as a partially observable sequential decision problem and solves it using Monte Carlo tree search for seed-action simulators (MCTS-SA) coupled with extended Kalman filter (EKF) belief-state estimation. The framework models stochastic, per-device variability in bias temperature instability (BTI), electromigration (EM), and time-dependent dielectric breakdown (TDDB), and treats stress selection as a constrained sequential optimization, i.e., to maximize the probability of successful degradation characterization while respecting catastrophic failure constraints. Under the experimental assumptions used here (discrete stress actions, proxy damage observability, and cumulative degradation without recovery), we believe this to be a novel application of tree-search-based adaptive test planning to multi-mechanism reliability qualification. Across 5,000 planning iterations, the characterization yield (CY) improves from 20% in the first 500 iterations to over 54% in the final 500, with 39% cumulative success, while the best successful test sequence terminates with EM and TDDB damage fractions DEM=0.564 and DTDDB=0.537, well within safety margins. These results demonstrate that sequential Bayesian planning can synthesize damage-aware test policies that significantly outperform non-adaptive strategies for reliability qualification under competing failure modes.

可靠性测试贝叶斯优化半导体自适应规划

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