用深度学习提升海温预报分辨率,精准捕捉海岸细粒度变化。
Deep Learning-Based Statistical Downscaling of Sea Surface Temperature Using a Residual Corrective Neural Network

- 先用U-Net生成高分辨率初始海温图,再通过残差修正逐级优化
- 将25公里分辨率提升至2公里,成功识别海洋热浪中的细小异常
- 适合关注沿海生态与气候影响的研究者使用
全球气候模型提供的海气预报空间分辨率不足,难以准确反映海岸带对大气强迫和沿岸环流的响应。动态降尺度计算成本过高,难以应用于长时序或大范围海岸线。本文提出一种基于深度学习的统计降尺度方法,利用ACCESS-S2季节性海气耦合预报系统数据,通过两阶段框架——先用U-Net生成初始高分辨率海表温度(SST)估计,再引入动态缩放残差进行逐级修正——实现对西澳大利亚海岸的高效降尺度。该方法称为残差修正神经网络(RCNN),能同时捕捉大尺度格局与涡旋、锋面等细粒度特征。研究还设计了损失辅助的变体以增强极端事件预测能力,弥补训练数据中缺失的气候极端情况。2011年海洋热浪案例显示,该方法将水平分辨率从25公里提升至2公里,显著提升了原模型未解析的精细结构识别能力。该方法在计算效率与精度间取得良好平衡,适用于沿海环境影响评估与海洋生态系统研究。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
The large-scale oceanic and atmospheric forecasts provided by global climate models typically lack sufficient resolution to accurately capture the response of the coastal ocean to atmospheric forcing and coastal circulation that drive fine-scale SST variability. Dynamical downscaling is computationally prohibitive, when applied to extensive coastlines, predictive ensembles, or long time periods. Therefore, this work presents a statistical downscaling of sea surface temperature (SST) from the seasonal coupled ocean-atmosphere forecast system (ACCESS-S2) using machine learning techniques. This study proposes a novel deep learning framework that uses a U-Net to generate an initial high-resolution SST estimate, which is subsequently refined using a residual corrective approach. The target SST fields are derived from the Regional Ocean Modeling System (ROMS). This two step approach called Residual Corrective Neural Network (RCNN) progressively refines initial U-Net predictions by incorporating dynamically scaled residuals at each step, enabling accurate capture of broad patterns and fine-grained features such as eddies and fronts. We also introduce a custom loss-assisted RCNN variant to improve performance during extreme events, which may be absent from training data due to climate-driven shifts in SST extremes. The framework efficiently downscales SST along the west coast of Australia. A 2011 marine heatwave case study shows that the RCNN improves ACCESS-S2 SST predictions by increasing horizontal resolution from 25 km to 2 km, enabling identification of fine-scale anomalies unresolved in the ACCESS-S2 dataset. This balance between computational efficiency and accuracy supports applications in coastal impact assessment and marine ecosystem studies.
Thank you to arXiv for use of its open access interoperability. PaperDance 不是 arXiv 官方产品;中文卡片由大模型生成,请以原文为准。