arXiv:2608.10047cs.LGcs.AI2026-08综述

将物理知识融入机器学习,提升设备健康预测的准确性与可靠性

Physics-Informed Machine Learning in Prognostics and Health Management: A Systematic Literature Review

论文配图:Physics-Informed Machine Learning in Prognostics and Health Management: A Systematic Literature Review
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 用物理规律约束机器学习模型,增强对故障机理的理解
  • 在电池和轴承等场景中,预测性能优于传统方法
  • 适合需要可解释性与高可靠性的工业健康监测场景

现代工业中,复杂系统的可靠、安全与高效运行依赖于故障预测与健康管理(PHM)。机器学习虽推动了诊断与预测进展,但纯数据驱动模型存在泛化能力差、难以推断因果关系、可解释性弱等局限。物理信息机器学习(PIML)通过将先验物理知识直接嵌入机器学习流程,缓解上述问题,日益受到关注。本文通过对212篇文献的系统综述,提出四类PIML方法:观测偏差、归纳偏差、学习偏差与混合方法,并按PHM任务进一步分类。结果显示,各类方法在多种资产上均显著优于传统基线模型,但研究高度集中于锂离子电池和轴承,且多为特定问题的解决方案。总体而言,物理信息方法已展现实际效益,但关于其在泛化、因果推断与可解释性方面的改进仍缺乏充分证据。未来研究应聚焦可迁移的设计模式、集成策略的基准对比,以及轻量化、鲁棒的不确定性感知模型,以支持真实场景中的在线部署。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

In modern industry, keeping complex systems reliable, safe, and efficient hinges on Prognostics and Health Management (PHM). Machine Learning (ML) has largely driven advancements in diagnostics and prognostics, yet purely data-driven models face inherent limitations, such as poor generalization, an inability to infer causal relationships, and a lack of interpretability. Physics-Informed Machine Learning (PIML) helps mitigate these limitations by incorporating prior physical knowledge directly into the ML pipeline, thereby fostering growing interest in its application to PHM. This work investigates how PIML is being leveraged in the context of PHM through a systematic literature review of 212 studies. The review introduces a four-class classification scheme, consisting of observational bias, inductive bias, learning bias, and hybrid approaches, and further categorizes studies by PHM task. Across all four classes, the reviewed studies consistently demonstrate improved predictive performance over conventional baselines across a broad range of assets, although the literature is heavily skewed toward lithium-ion batteries and bearings, and dominated by problem-specific solutions. Overall, the review indicates that physics-informed approaches already provide tangible benefits, whereas claims of improvements concerning some of the aforementioned limitations lack sufficient supporting evidence. Future research should prioritize transferable design patterns, benchmarks comparing integration strategies, and uncertainty-aware models that are lightweight and robust enough for online deployment in real-world settings.

PHM物理信息机器学习故障预测

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