arXiv:2608.11006cs.CYcs.AI2026-08

分析74国3区域AI战略,发现政策在经济伦理上趋同,人权治理仍分化。

Policy Convergence and Divergence Across National and Within Regional AI Strategies: A Policy Design Element Analysis

  • 按目标、方法、原则三类设计元素编码分析74个国家和3个区域策略
  • 经济竞争力与伦理使用高度趋同,人权与参与式治理持续分化
  • 欧盟垂直对齐强但价值观分歧,非洲联盟垂直趋同最明显

全球各国纷纷发布国家与区域级人工智能战略。本文通过编码分析来自205个联合国成员国及非成员国的74项国家战略和3项区域战略,采用基于目标、方法、原则三类功能设计元素的隐含归纳法,探讨其横向(国家间)与纵向(区域-国家间)的政策趋同或分化趋势。研究发现,各国在经济竞争力、科研支持和伦理使用方面呈现强烈横向趋同;但在人权目标、参与式治理方式与以人为本原则方面仍存在显著差异。三个区域中,非洲联盟(AU)表现出最高水平的纵向趋同,欧盟在监管与经济优先事项上高度一致,但在以人为本价值上出现分歧,北欧波罗的海地区则呈现混合性纵向趋同。研究为政策制定者提供了更新人工智能战略时可参考的实证基础。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Governments worldwide have responded to the rapid expansion of AI by publishing national and regional AI strategies. Comparing national and regional AI strategies to identify their convergences and divergences can uncover their common practices, understand regional variations, and provide policy designers a comprehensive set of policy design elements for their ongoing AI strategy developments. Yet, existing work has not examined their underlying policy design elements or assessed whether those elements are horizontally (country-to-country) or vertical (region-to-country) converging or diverging over time. This paper addresses that gap by coding and analyzing 74 national and 3 regional AI strategies drawn from a global scan of all 205 UN member and non-member states. The coding used a latent-inductive approach organized around three functional policy design elements: goals, approaches, and principles. Two research questions guided the analysis: to what degree are national AI strategies becoming horizontally convergent or divergent over time; and to what degree are national strategies becoming vertically convergent or divergent with those countries' regional AI strategy. Results indicate strong horizontal convergence around economic competitiveness, research support, and ethical AI use, alongside persistent divergence in human rights goals, participatory governance approaches, and human-centric principles. Across the three regions, the AU exhibits the highest vertical convergence, the EU demonstrated strong alignment on regulatory and economic priorities but diverges on human-centric values, and the Nordic-Baltic Region displays mixed vertical convergence. These findings offer policy designers a comprehensive evidence base for identifying emerging AI policy design choice norms as AI strategies are developed and updated.

AI战略政策分析趋同分化

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