用深度模型模拟故障传感器数据,48小时预测精度超基准方法。
Air Quality Station Simulation via LSTM and Attention-Based Modelling

- 基于LSTM与注意力机制建模多源空气数据关联关系。
- 在4个全球城市数据集上,48小时预测的R²和RMSE均优于基线。
- 适合城市空气质量监测系统缺测补全,尤其适用于传感器故障场景。
城市空气污染由复杂过程驱动,对公共健康构成重大威胁。为深入理解并控制污染机制,城市部署监测站网络,并推进更密集的数据采集。然而,硬件故障或断电可能导致数据缺失,影响分析质量。本文提出一种深度学习模型SATADL,可推断复杂关系并实现多小时空气品质预测,目标是模拟故障站数据直至其恢复运行。模型架构能从数据多维度提取信息,各组件经详细分析。我们在全球四个城市的空气监测站数据集上测试,模拟单个站点48小时的假想故障,预测PM10浓度。对比多种基线与已发表深度学习模型,结果表明SATADL在不同预测窗口下,于决定系数(R²)和均方根误差(RMSE)指标上均表现更优,证明其作为虚拟监测站的适用性。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Poor air quality in urban areas is driven by a complex chain of processes and presents a significant public health concern. To better understand and control the mechanisms that determine air quality, cities deploy networks of measurement stations, and launch initiatives for collecting denser data about the concentration of pollutants in the atmosphere. Extracting insights from the stations relies on their reliable and uninterrupted operation. However, hardware is susceptible to faults and black- outs that may result in data unavailability, which affects the overall quality of analyses. In this paper, we present a deep-learning model, called SATADL, which can infer complex relations and output multiple-hour-ahead air-quality forecasts. The goal of the model is to simulate the mea- surements of an unresponsive station until its operation is restored. The architecture of the model, which allows it to extract information from different aspects of the data, is described in detail and a careful examination of all of its components is provided. We demonstrate the performance of SATADL on four sets of air quality stations from around the world, by using it to simulate the concentration of PM10 for periods of hypothetical failures of one of the measurement stations, lasting for as long as 48 hours. A selection of baseline and published deep learning models were trained and used as a benchmark. The results show that SATADL per- forms better across different prediction windows, for both coefficient of determination and root mean squared error, demonstrating its suitability as a virtual proxy station.
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