arXiv:2608.12001cs.LGcs.AI2026-08

用遥感与机器学习分析达卡5年土地变化,发现城市扩张致植被水体锐减。

Remote Sensing and Machine Learning-Based Analysis of Land Use and Vegetation Change in Dhaka District, Bangladesh

  • 结合哨兵与陆地卫星数据,用随机森林等模型分类土地覆盖。
  • 五年间城市用地增59.5%,植被减8.46%,水体减7.77%。
  • 适合关注城市化影响、环境监测的政策制定者与研究者。

达卡地区快速城市化导致土地利用与生态环境发生显著变化,亟需系统监测以支持科学规划与生态可持续性。本研究利用2019至2024年哨兵-2 MSI和陆地8号遥感影像,通过决策树、K近邻(KNN)与随机森林等监督机器学习方法,对土地覆盖类型进行分类,并计算归一化植被指数(NDVI)、归一化建筑指数(NDBI)及归一化水体指数(NDWI)。基于谷歌地球引擎中的标注地理空间训练点进行分类,使用混淆矩阵与卡帕统计评估精度。结果显示,五年间城市建成区面积增长59.5%,植被覆盖率下降8.46%,水体面积减少7.77%。植被与水体向城市基础设施转化是主要趋势。其中,随机森林分类效果最优。研究揭示了无序城市扩张带来的日益严峻的环境压力,凸显遥感与机器学习在提供及时、可行动数据方面在支持可持续城市发展、土地利用管制与生态保护政策方面的潜力。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Rapid urbanization in Dhaka District, Bangladesh has triggered substantial alterations in land use and environmental conditions, necessitating systematic monitoring for informed urban planning and ecological sustainability. This study employs remote sensing data and machine learning techniques to analyze spatiotemporal changes in land cover and vegetation dynamics between 2019 and 2024. High-resolution satellite imagery from Sentinel-2 MSI and Landsat 8 was utilized to classify land cover types and compute spectral indices including the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Normalized Difference Built-up Index (NDBI), and Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI). A supervised machine learning approach incorporating Decision Tree, K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), and Random Forest classifiers was applied using labeled geospatial training points within Google Earth Engine. Accuracy assessments were conducted using confusion matrices and kappa statistics. Results indicate a 59.5% increase in urban built-up areas and a significant decline in vegetation (-8.46%) and water bodies (-7.77%) over the five-year period. Land conversion from vegetated and aquatic areas to urban infrastructure was identified as a dominant trend. Among the models, Random Forest demonstrated the highest classification accuracy. These findings underscore the growing environmental pressures driven by unregulated urban expansion in Dhaka. The study highlights the potential of remote sensing and machine learning tools in providing timely, actionable data to support sustainable urban development, land-use regulation, and ecosystem conservation policies.

遥感城市化机器学习土地利用

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