让量化交易研究自动迭代优化,实现持续自我改进。
AQuA: Recursively Self-Improving Quantitative Trading Research Agents

- 分两个独立系统:符号因子发现与可训练模型开发,各自闭环进化。
- 加密货币信号信息系数达0.190,美股策略年化夏普率达2.50。
- 适合对自主研究系统、自动化交易建模感兴趣的开发者和研究员。
我们研究量化投资研究层面的递归自我改进:一个自主系统能否利用前期实验的证据来优化后续迭代中的假设与候选方案。提出AQuA,包含两个独立的语言模型驱动的研究系统:一个用于符号因子发现,另一个用于可训练模型开发。两者不共享代理、记忆、候选空间或研究状态,而是各自通过保留验证证据并指导后续提案,实现研究过程的递归自我改进。每个系统运行于封闭沙盒中,固定数据划分、特征与标签定义及评估器,仅允许通过受限因子表达式或配置差异进行操作。因子系统采用管理式多代理流水线,在加密货币宇宙中生成组合信息系数约0.190的信号。模型系统基于混合时间序列架构,通过配置驱动循环,在美国股票上实现单只股票信息系数+0.0843,并转化为阈值多空策略,持份夏普率达+2.50(双边成本),2021至2025年每年均正收益。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
We study recursive self-improvement at the level of quantitative-investment research: whether an autonomous system can use evidence from earlier experiments to improve the hypotheses and candidates proposed in later iterations. We present AQuA, which comprises two separate language-model-driven research systems: one for symbolic factor discovery and one for trainable model development. The two systems do not share agents, memories, candidate spaces, or research state. Instead, each independently closes its own research loop by retaining validated evidence and using it to guide subsequent proposals. In this bounded sense, both systems implement recursive self-improvement at the level of the research process. Each system also uses its own sealed sandbox, which fixes the data splits, feature and label definitions, and evaluator while allowing the model to act only through constrained factor expressions or configuration diffs. The factor system, a manager-mediated multi-agent pipeline, discovers and combines factors into a signal that reaches a combined information coefficient of about $0.190$ on a crypto universe. The model system, a config-driven loop over a hybrid time-series architecture, reaches a per-stock information coefficient of $+0.0843$ on US equities and converts it into a threshold long/short strategy with a held-out Sharpe of up to $+2.50$ at a two-leg cost. The strategy is positive in every year from 2021 to 2025.
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