arXiv:2608.14660cs.LGcs.AI2026-08

用环形区域建模建筑分布与人流的非线性关系,发现远距离用地影响更大。

Ring-based Spatial Transformer: Learning Non-linear Spatial Interactions between Building Distribution and Pedestrian Flow

  • 以100米为间隔划分800米内环形区域,用自注意力学习空间交互
  • 在30次实验中,模型预测准确率优于地理加权回归基线
  • 揭示远距离区域对人流影响更显著,挑战了就近开发最优的旧观念

本研究提出一种基于环形区域的空间变换器,用于学习铁路站点周边不同距离范围内建筑用地如何协同影响行人流量。在东京100个随机选取的站点周围,以100米为间隔定义至800米的同心环缓冲区,将每个环视为一个空间令牌。采用自注意力机制直接从数据中学习区域间相互作用,无需预设结构假设。以GPS获取的步行出行次数为目标变量,地理加权回归(GWR)作为基线。在30次独立实验中,空间变换器始终优于GWR的预测精度。SHAP分析显示,中远距离区域特征主导人流预测,而0-100米范围特征贡献较小。注意力矩阵表明,各距离区域最关注的是空间上较远的区域,说明行人流量由整个可达范围内的结构性互动所调节,而非单一区域孤立决定。该发现挑战了‘紧凑城市’假设中‘站旁开发最优’的观点,提示城市规划应更重视整个步行可达范围内的土地利用分布。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

This study proposes a ring-based SpatialTransformer to learn how building uses at different distances from a railway station interact to generate pedestrian flow. Concentric ring buffers at 100-meter intervals up to 800 meters were defined around 100 randomly selected stations in Tokyo, treating each ring as a spatial token. Self-Attention was applied to learn inter-zone interactions directly from data, without prior structural assumptions. GPS-derived walking trip counts served as the target variable and Geographically Weighted Regression as the baseline. Across 30 independent trials, the SpatialTransformer consistently outperformed GWR in predictive accuracy. SHAP analysis revealed that mid-to-outer distance zone features dominate pedestrian flow prediction, while features from the 0-100m zone contributed little. The attention matrix showed that each distance zone attends most strongly to spatially distant zones, demonstrating that pedestrian flow is regulated by structural interactions across the entire catchment area rather than by any single zone in isolation. These findings challenge the compact city assumption that station-proximate development maximizes pedestrian flow, and suggest that land use distribution across the full walkable catchment area deserves greater consideration in urban planning practice.

空间分析注意力机制城市规划行人流动

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