arXiv:2608.14746cs.AI2026-08

用机器学习和自然语言处理分析航空安全数据,提升事故预测与决策能力。

Advanced modelling and data analytics in aviation

  • 融合深度学习与NLP技术挖掘事故报告中的潜在模式。
  • 通过主题建模提取安全报告中的关键风险主题,提升可解释性。
  • 适合航空监管、航空公司及政策制定者参考,推动AI赋能安全管理。

航空业因严格的安全标准,亟需创新方法提升安全保障。尽管积累了大量安全数据,其在事故预测与预防中的潜力尚未充分释放。本研究利用机器学习(ML)与自然语言处理(NLP)技术,分析来自Socrata、澳大利亚交通安全局(ATSB)、国家运输安全委员会(NTSB)及航空安全网络(ASN)的航空安全数据。通过现有深度学习与基于Transformer的模型,结合NLP方法挖掘事故叙述文本,识别导致事故与险情的关键模式。同时,采用多种主题建模技术从非结构化报告中提取有意义的主题,增强事故分析的可解释性。进一步探索因果推断与可解释性AI框架,以提升模型透明度与可信度。该研究系统评估了先进机器学习方法在航空安全领域的适用性,为监管机构、航空公司及政策制定者提供数据驱动的决策支持,助力行业降低风险、保障乘客与机组安全,并推动人工智能在航空安全管理中的落地应用。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

The aviation industry characterized by its stringent safety standards has seen a growing need for innovative approaches to enhance safety measures. Despite the vast accumulation of aviation safety data over time, its full potential in predicting and preventing incidents has not been fully realized. This research addresses this gap by applying machine learning (ML) and natural language processing (NLP) techniques to analyze aviation safety data from Socrata, the Australian Transport Safety Bureau (ATSB), the National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB), and the Aviation Safety Network (ASN). By leveraging existing ML models, including deep learning and transformer-based architectures alongside NLP methods for mining aviation incident narratives, this study uncovers patterns contributing to safety related incidents such as accidents and near-misses. Additionally, it employs various topic modelling techniques to extract meaningful themes from unstructured safety reports, enhancing the interpretability of incident analysis. Causal inference techniques and interpretable AI frameworks are further explored to improve model transparency and trustworthiness. A key contribution of this work is the deployment of advanced ML methodologies in a structured aviation safety context, assessing their effectiveness and providing insights into their practical implementation. The findings offer valuable insights for aviation stakeholders, including regulators, airlines, and policymakers, by providing data-driven solutions that enhance incident analysis and decision making. Ultimately, this research supports the industry s ongoing efforts to minimize risks, improve passenger and crew security, and integrate AI driven methodologies into aviation safety management.

航空安全机器学习自然语言处理数据分析

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