用可解释模型提升车载网络切换决策速度与透明度
Handover Analysis for Vehicular Communication with Explainability on the Fly

- 基于fANOVA框架构建天生可解释的切换检测模型
- 相比事后解释方法,推理延迟降低且性能相当
- 适合对实时性与可信度要求高的智能交通系统
车载网络中的切换管理需在高度动态环境下实现快速可靠的决策。尽管机器学习能通过捕捉关键性能指标(KPI)间的复杂关系提升切换检测效果,但其黑箱特性限制了可解释性与运维人员信任。本文从“即时可解释性”角度出发,采用基于函数方差分析(fANOVA)的固有可解释模型进行切换检测。在两个真实运营商数据集上评估,并与加入事后SHAP解释的LSTM基线对比。相较于事后解释方法,该框架无需额外计算开销即可实现即时决策解释,对时延敏感的车载网络尤为关键。结果表明,fANOVA模型在检测性能上具有竞争力,同时显著降低解释延迟。特征排序与可视化分析揭示了KPI与切换事件之间的物理可解释关系,符合标准切换机制。证明了固有可解释模型是下一代车载网络中高效透明的切换检测方案。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Handover (HO) management in vehicular networks requires fast and reliable decision-making under highly dynamic conditions. While machine learning (ML) approaches can improve HO detection by capturing complex relationships among various key performance indicators (KPIs), their black-box nature limits interpretability and operator trust. To address this, this paper investigates HO detection from an explainability-on-the-fly perspective using inherently interpretable models based on the functional analysis of variance (fANOVA) framework. The proposed models are evaluated using two real-world operator datasets and compared against a Long Short-Term Memory baseline augmented with post-hoc SHAP explanations. Unlike post-hoc approaches, the proposed framework enables immediate interpretation of model decisions without incurring additional computational overhead. This capability is particularly critical for latency-sensitive vehicular networks. The results show that fANOVA-based models achieve competitive detection performance while providing significantly reduced explanation latency compared to conventional post-hoc methods. Furthermore, feature ranking and visualization analyses reveal physically meaningful relationships between KPIs and HO occurrences that align with standardized HO mechanisms. These results demonstrate that inherently interpretable models provide an efficient and transparent solution for HO detection in next-generation vehicular networks.
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