arXiv:2608.15124cs.LGmath.OC2026-08

提出决策驱动正则化,让模型同时优化预测与决策效果。

Decision-Driven Regularization: A Blended Model for Learning and Optimization

论文配图:Decision-Driven Regularization: A Blended Model for Learning and Optimization
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 用双目标框架平衡预测精度与成本最小化
  • 在合成数据上优于OLS、XGBoost等基准模型
  • 适合需要联合优化预测与决策的业务场景

在上下文优化中,决策者需根据观测特征最小化变化的成本函数,这广泛存在于按需配送、零售运营、投资组合优化和库存管理等场景。本文研究学习与优化相结合的方法:先学习特征对结果的影响,再据此选择最优决策。我们聚焦于集成学习与优化的研究,发现预测精度缺乏控制会导致过拟合,降低决策有效性。为此,我们提出一种双目标公式——决策驱动正则化,平衡预测准确性和成本最小化,并通过新超参数处理成本函数定义的模糊性。此外,我们证明鲁棒优化和后悔最小化等视角所对应的模型与本方法紧密相关,表明该框架可统一SPO+等模型。在合成实验中,本模型在数值表现上优于OLS、随机森林、XGBoost、SPO+、扰动梯度法及学习排序等基准。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

In contextual optimization, the decision-maker seeks optimal decisions to minimize a cost function, that varies based on observed features. This context is common in many business applications ranging from on-demand delivery and retail operations to portfolio optimization and inventory management. In this paper, we study the learning and optimization approach, which first learns how outcomes result from the features, and then selects optimal decisions based on these outcomes. We focus on the integrated learning and optimization literature, and identify that a lack of control for prediction accuracy can lead to overfitting and a loss of decision effectiveness against simple separate learning and optimization models. Instead, we propose a bi-objective formulation that balances prediction accuracy and cost minimization, termed decision-driven regularization. It also addresses ambiguity in the definition of the cost function via a surrogate that depends on a new hyperparameter. We additionally show that alternative perspectives for formulating the problem, namely robust optimization and regret minimization, lead to models that are closely related to our proposed model. As a consequence, our framework generalizes models such as SPO+. Our model is shown to be numerically superior to other benchmarks, such as OLS, Random Forest, XGBoost, SPO+, Perturbation Gradient, and Learning and Rank, in our synthetic studies.

优化学习决策建模正则化

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