arXiv:2608.15156cs.ROcs.AI2026-08

用低秩载体实现精准反事实未来预测,无需反复修正状态。

Low-Rank Dynamics-Effective Latent Carriers for Counterfactual Rollout in Learned World Models

  • 从真实与反事实状态差中学习低秩载体,通过仿射映射预测干预坐标。
  • 仅需一次4阶低秩修正,即可完成12步自主演化,无需额外观测或校正。
  • 该接口适用于单/双分量速度编辑,适合需要高效反事实模拟的研究者。

我们探究:是否可通过一个小的、可直接操作的隐状态干预,使学习的世界模型进入预定的反事实未来,并由模型自身动态推进该未来。在受控的两物体碰撞环境中,训练了一个192维的递归模型,使用真实及局部编辑的反事实轨迹。候选载体通过仅训练阶段的反事实-真实隐状态差值学习,采用仿射映射根据真实状态和请求编辑预测载体坐标,测试时无需访问原反事实隐状态。对于有限的单分量速度编辑,秩4是满足预设开发标准的最小测试秩。一次性的秩4修正可实现12步自主演化,无需未来观测、教师强制、重复隐状态修正或物理状态钳制。冻结流程满足预设的2/3新检查点复现规则,且可在邻近锚点重复使用。同一衍生载体与仅单体的仿射映射也支持有限的同物体双分量请求。在匹配训练条件下,更广的反事实支持主要与更高的联合演化准确率和更线性的联合隐状态响应相关。组合相关结构在秩4子空间中更丰富,但不局限于该子空间;局部递归诊断显示载体对其他隐状态具有强一步耦合。位置编辑压力测试未能通过特定性控制。这些结果支持一种紧凑的动力学有效干预入口界面,而非封闭的四维状态或内在状态维度。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

We ask whether a small, directly addressable hidden-state intervention can place a learned world model on an intended counterfactual future and then let the model's own dynamics carry that future forward. In a controlled two-object collision environment, we study a 192-dimensional recurrent model trained on factual and locally edited counterfactual trajectories. Candidate carriers are learned from training-only counterfactual-minus-factual hidden differences, and an affine map predicts carrier coordinates from the factual state and requested edit without access to the native counterfactual hidden state at test time. For bounded single-component velocity edits, rank 4 is the smallest tested rank on the preregistered grid that satisfies the development criteria. A one-shot rank-4 patch launches a 12-transition autonomous rollout without future observations, teacher forcing, repeated hidden-state correction, or physical-state clamping. The frozen procedure satisfies the preregistered 2-of-3 fresh-checkpoint replication rule and remains reusable at nearby anchors. The same Single-derived carrier and Single-only affine map also support bounded same-object two-component requests. Across the matched training regimes, broader counterfactual support was associated mainly with better Joint rollout accuracy and more additive Joint hidden responses. Composition-related structure is enriched in the rank-4 subspace but is not confined to it, and local recurrent diagnostics show strong one-step coupling from the carrier to the rest of the hidden state. A position-edit stress test fails the required specificity controls. Together, these results support a compact dynamics-effective intervention-entry interface, not a closed four-dimensional state or an intrinsic state dimension.

世界模型反事实推理低秩干预动态建模

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