arXiv:2608.15282cs.LGcs.CV2026-08

提出生态水文领域基础模型评估框架,解决数据不确定性与尺度不匹配问题。

Earth Observation Foundation Models for Terrestrial Ecohydrology: From Representation Learning to Process Inference

论文配图:Earth Observation Foundation Models for Terrestrial Ecohydrology: From Representation Learning to Process Inference
图 1 · 摘自论文原文
  • 构建从观测到推断的层级框架,明确适用条件
  • 发现预训练多依赖光学与微波数据,热红外覆盖不足
  • 强调过程感知设计,适合需要可解释推断的研究者

地球观测基础模型(EOFMs)正成为生态水文领域数据驱动检索、预测与过程建模的可复用表征框架,整合遥感、气象强迫与过程模型,刻画植被与土壤中水、能量和碳的耦合动态。然而,尚缺乏针对生态水文特性的综合评估,涵盖模型相关性、应用证据及在参考数据不确定、尺度不匹配和时间依赖下的评价要求。本文构建框架以判断EOFM是否支持可解释推断,并揭示其与生态水文需求间的错配:首先,观测到推断的层级显示相关性取决于目标特定的传感路径、时空支撑与可追溯不确定性;其次,元分析表明预训练主要基于反射光谱与主动微波数据,热红外覆盖稀疏,无被动微波发射源;第三,生态水文应用中对空间上下文、标签高效适配与混合工作流支持最强,但随着推断深度增加,通量、耦合动态、事件轨迹、校准不确定性与决策效益的独立验证仍稀缺;第四,基准审计显示一般EOFM套件在公平适配与可复现性上较强,而生态水文评估在过程目标、直接参考证据与分布偏移方面较优,物理一致性和不确定性评估仍薄弱。研究呼吁建立面向过程的框架,使EOFM设计与评估与目标变量、观测路径及过程时间尺度对齐,支持可信的水-能-碳耦合动态监测与解释。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Earth observation foundation models (EOFMs) are emerging as reusable representation frameworks for data-driven retrieval, prediction and process modelling within ecohydrology, which integrate EO, meteorological forcing and process models to characterise coupled water, energy and carbon dynamics in vegetation and soil across scales. However, there is yet to be an ecohydrology-specific synthesis assessing the EOFM relevance, application evidence or evaluation requirements under uncertain reference data, scale mismatch and temporal dependence. Here, we develop a framework for determining when EOFMs support interpretable inference and identify a mismatch between EOFMs and ecohydrological requirements. Firstly, an observation-to-inference hierarchy shows that relevance depends on target-specific sensing pathways, spatial-temporal support and traceable uncertainty. Secondly, a meta-analysis shows that pretraining is dominated by reflected optical and active-microwave data, with sparse thermal coverage and no passive-microwave-emission sources. Thirdly, our synthesis of ecohydrological applications finds strongest support for spatial context, label-efficient adaptation and hybrid workflows. Evidence declines with inference depth; independent validation of fluxes, coupled dynamics, event trajectories, calibrated uncertainty and decision benefits remains sparse. Fourthly, our benchmark audit finds stronger coverage of fair adaptation and reproducibility in general EOFM suites, and of process targets, direct reference evidence and distribution shifts in ecohydrological evaluations; physical consistency and uncertainty remain weakly assessed. These findings motivate a process-aware framework aligning EOFM design and evaluation with the target variable, observation pathway and process timescale, supporting trustworthy monitoring and interpretation of coupled water, energy and carbon dynamics.

生态水文基础模型遥感可解释性

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